Burnley at Luton Town

Updated

Burnley

37.2%29.2%33.6%
Burnley WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 0

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Watford-145
W 0-3 vs Preston North End-190
W 3-0 at Norwich City+180
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+120
W 0-1 vs Coventry City-160
Luton Town
Money Line
T 1-1 at Preston North End+165
T 1-1 at Coventry City+225
W 0-1 vs Stoke City+125
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City+110
W 2-0 at Wigan Athletic+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+131+142+125+142-+142+142+161.9
Luton Town+222+228+225+193-+193+228+217.1
Draw+237+210+220+205-+205+220+230.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+110---+105+125+125+161.9
Luton Town+200---+230+245+245+217.1
Draw+215---+195+215+215+230.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Luton Town: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +112 to +106
Luton Town ML moved from +197 to +188

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Luton Town: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Luton Town: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Burnley ML
Luton Town ML moved from +235 to +225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2-122o2-118o2-112-o2-112o2-112o2-102
Underu2½-123u2+104u2-102u2-108-u2-108u2+104u2+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-102
Under-----u2+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.26%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.67%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.59%
Exactly 319.55%
Exactly 54.66%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 032.39%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.58%
Exactly 37.73%
Exactly 42.18%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 034.76%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.41%
Exactly 36.83%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.38%
Exactly 218.60%
Exactly 41.58%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 059.34%
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 28.08%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 061.31%
Exactly 129.99%
Exactly 27.34%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals15.15%
Wins by 3+ goals4.69%
Wins by 4+ goals1.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals12.98%
Wins by 3+ goals3.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal21.91%
Wins by 2 goals10.45%
Wins by 3 goals3.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal20.54%
Wins by 2 goals9.18%
Wins by 3 goals2.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.74%11.26%
1.564.15%35.85%
2.537.30%62.70%
3.517.75%82.25%
4.57.08%92.92%
5.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.61%32.39%
1.531.10%68.90%
2.510.51%89.49%
3.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.24%34.76%
1.528.51%71.49%
2.59.10%90.90%
3.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.62%36.38%
1.526.83%73.17%
2.58.24%91.76%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Luton Town
Score012345
0
11.26%
11.90%
6.29%
2.21%
0.58%
0.12%
1
12.69%
13.41%
7.09%
2.50%
0.66%
0.14%
2
7.15%
7.56%
3.99%
1.41%
0.37%
0.08%
3
2.69%
2.84%
1.50%
0.53%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.76%
0.80%
0.42%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.18%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-012.69%
2-07.15%
2-17.56%
3-02.69%
3-12.84%
3-21.50%
4-00.76%
4-10.80%
4-20.42%
4-30.15%
5-00.17%
5-10.18%
Draw
0-011.26%
1-113.41%
2-23.99%
3-30.53%
Luton Town
0-111.90%
0-26.29%
1-27.09%
0-32.21%
1-32.50%
2-31.41%
0-40.58%
1-40.66%
2-40.37%
3-40.14%
0-50.12%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Luton Town
Score0123
0
36.38%
17.80%
4.35%
0.71%
1
18.99%
9.29%
2.27%
0.37%
2
4.96%
2.42%
0.59%
0.10%
3
0.86%
0.42%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-018.99%
2-04.96%
2-12.42%
3-00.86%
3-10.42%
3-20.10%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-036.38%
1-19.29%
2-20.59%
Luton Town
0-117.80%
0-24.35%
1-22.27%
0-30.71%
1-30.37%