Watford at Burnley

Updated

Watford

18.0%24.0%58.0%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.69
1Final Score 1

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Blackburn-120
T 2-2 at Reading+150
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+335
T 1-1 vs Rotherham United-175
W 0-2 vs Blackpool-125
Burnley
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Preston North End-190
W 3-0 at Norwich City+180
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+120
W 0-1 vs Coventry City-160
W 2-1 at Swansea City+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+300+450+420+385+449+385+450+467.8
Burnley-120-140-140-143-140-143-140-129.4
Draw+260+265+245+250+272+250+272+284.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+440---+425+440+440+467.8
Burnley-155----190-145-145-129.4
Draw+290---+255+265+265+284.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Burnley: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +459 to +453
Burnley ML moved from -159 to -167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Burnley: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +475 to +440
No Steam Moves On Burnley ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+125o2¼-105o2¼-101o2½+131o2¼-101o2¼-101o2½+137
Underu2½-115u2½-147u2¼-115u2¼-119u2½-146u2¼-119u2½-146u2½-137
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+137
Under-----u2½-137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.12%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 413.44%
Exactly 62.82%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.39%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 56.75%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 043.98%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 214.84%
Exactly 34.06%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 018.47%
Exactly 131.19%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 314.83%
Exactly 46.26%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.27%
Exactly 221.13%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 068.36%
Exactly 126.00%
Exactly 24.94%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 045.75%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 213.99%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals5.52%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals32.25%
Wins by 3+ goals14.28%
Wins by 4+ goals5.16%
Wins by 5+ goals1.54%
Wins by 6+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Burnley
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal12.50%
Wins by 2 goals4.25%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal25.71%
Wins by 2 goals17.97%
Wins by 3 goals9.13%
Wins by 4 goals3.61%
Wins by 5 goals1.17%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.88%8.12%
1.571.49%28.51%
2.545.89%54.11%
3.524.47%75.53%
4.511.02%88.98%
5.54.27%95.73%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.02%43.98%
1.519.89%80.11%
2.55.06%94.94%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.53%18.47%
1.550.34%49.66%
2.523.99%76.01%
3.59.16%90.84%
4.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.73%31.27%
1.532.37%67.63%
2.511.25%88.75%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Burnley
Score012345
0
8.12%
13.72%
11.59%
6.52%
2.76%
0.93%
1
6.67%
11.27%
9.52%
5.36%
2.26%
0.76%
2
2.74%
4.63%
3.91%
2.20%
0.93%
0.31%
3
0.75%
1.27%
1.07%
0.60%
0.25%
0.09%
4
0.15%
0.26%
0.22%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Watford
1-06.67%
2-02.74%
2-14.63%
3-00.75%
3-11.27%
3-21.07%
4-00.15%
4-10.26%
4-20.22%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-08.12%
1-111.27%
2-23.91%
3-30.60%
Burnley
0-113.72%
0-211.59%
1-29.52%
0-36.52%
1-35.36%
2-32.20%
0-42.76%
1-42.26%
2-40.93%
3-40.25%
0-50.93%
1-50.76%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Burnley
Score01234
0
31.27%
24.46%
9.56%
2.49%
0.49%
1
11.89%
9.30%
3.64%
0.95%
0.19%
2
2.26%
1.77%
0.69%
0.18%
0.04%
3
0.29%
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-011.89%
2-02.26%
2-11.77%
3-00.29%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-031.27%
1-19.30%
2-20.69%
Burnley
0-124.46%
0-29.56%
1-23.64%
0-32.49%
1-30.95%
2-30.18%
0-40.49%
1-40.19%
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