Watford at Middlesbrough

Updated

Watford

19.9%24.5%55.6%
WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.65
0Final Score 2

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Rotherham United-175
W 0-2 vs Blackpool-125
W 1-0 at Norwich City+320
L 0-4 at Swansea City+290
L 2-0 vs Millwall+105
Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sunderland+140
W 0-1 vs Millwall+105
W 3-1 at Birmingham City+105
W 2-1 at Blackburn+130
W 1-4 vs Wigan Athletic-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+318+315+310+275+332+275+332+344.7
Middlesbrough-109-105-115-112-105-112-105+101.0
Draw+257+250+255+235+250+235+255+260.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+310---+315+335+335+344.7
Middlesbrough-110----135-115-115+101.0
Draw+250---+220+250+250+260.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +315 to +305
Middlesbrough ML moved from +101 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
Middlesbrough ML moved from -125 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+101o2½+103o2¼-125o2½-110o2½+101o2½-110o2¼-125o2½+108
Underu2½-119u2½-121u2¼+105u2½-110u2½-116u2½-110u2½-110u2½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+108
Under-----u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.00%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 413.56%
Exactly 62.88%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.21%
Exactly 321.48%
Exactly 56.85%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 041.65%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.98%
Exactly 34.66%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 019.21%
Exactly 131.69%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 314.37%
Exactly 45.93%
Exactly 51.96%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.06%
Exactly 221.23%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 38.28%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 066.66%
Exactly 127.03%
Exactly 25.48%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 046.59%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 213.59%
Exactly 33.46%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals6.39%
Wins by 3+ goals1.55%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals30.29%
Wins by 3+ goals13.12%
Wins by 4+ goals4.63%
Wins by 5+ goals1.35%
Wins by 6+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal13.45%
Wins by 2 goals4.84%
Wins by 3 goals1.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal25.33%
Wins by 2 goals17.18%
Wins by 3 goals8.49%
Wins by 4 goals3.27%
Wins by 5 goals1.03%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.00%8.00%
1.571.79%28.21%
2.546.27%53.73%
3.524.79%75.21%
4.511.23%88.77%
5.54.37%95.63%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.35%41.65%
1.521.87%78.13%
2.55.89%94.11%
3.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.79%19.21%
1.549.09%50.91%
2.522.95%77.05%
3.58.58%91.42%
4.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.94%31.06%
1.532.63%67.37%
2.511.39%88.61%
3.53.12%96.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
8.00%
13.20%
10.89%
5.99%
2.47%
0.81%
1
7.01%
11.56%
9.54%
5.24%
2.16%
0.71%
2
3.07%
5.06%
4.18%
2.30%
0.95%
0.31%
3
0.90%
1.48%
1.22%
0.67%
0.28%
0.09%
4
0.20%
0.32%
0.27%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Watford
1-07.01%
2-03.07%
2-15.06%
3-00.90%
3-11.48%
3-21.22%
4-00.20%
4-10.32%
4-20.27%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.00%
1-111.56%
2-24.18%
3-30.67%
Middlesbrough
0-113.20%
0-210.89%
1-29.54%
0-35.99%
1-35.24%
2-32.30%
0-42.47%
1-42.16%
2-40.95%
3-40.28%
0-50.81%
1-50.71%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
31.06%
23.72%
9.06%
2.31%
0.44%
1
12.60%
9.62%
3.67%
0.94%
0.18%
2
2.55%
1.95%
0.74%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.35%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Watford
1-012.60%
2-02.55%
2-11.95%
3-00.35%
3-10.26%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-031.06%
1-19.62%
2-20.74%
Middlesbrough
0-123.72%
0-29.06%
1-23.67%
0-32.31%
1-30.94%
2-30.19%
0-40.44%
1-40.18%
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