Millwall at Watford

Updated

Millwall

23.5%26.9%49.5%
Millwall WinDrawWatford Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.43
2Final Score 0

Watford

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Wigan Athletic-105
L 0-3 at Sunderland+180
W 4-2 at Preston North End+205
T 0-0 vs Hull City-120
T 0-0 at Birmingham City+225
Watford
Money Line
W 2-0 at Huddersfield+120
T 0-0 vs Hull City-135
T 0-0 at Bristol City+120
W 0-2 vs Reading-115
L 1-0 vs Coventry City-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+270+243+235+199+257+199+257+269.2
Watford+110+130+125+129+127+129+130+134.7
Draw+215+219+220+225+219+225+225+229.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+290---+255+285+285+269.2
Watford+100----110+105+105+134.7
Draw+240---+210+230+230+229.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +259 to +253
Watford ML moved from +120 to +113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 60.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +265 to +255
Watford ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-138o2¼+102o2¼-101o2-133o2¼-101o2-133o2-124
Underu2¼-115u2+118u2¼-122u2¼-119u2+118u2¼-119u2¼-119u2+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-124
Under-----u2+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.79%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 411.89%
Exactly 62.14%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.75%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 55.53%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 040.91%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.34%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 023.94%
Exactly 134.22%
Exactly 224.47%
Exactly 311.66%
Exactly 44.17%
Exactly 51.19%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.10%
Exactly 219.73%
Exactly 41.90%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.08%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 066.11%
Exactly 127.36%
Exactly 25.66%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 051.58%
Exactly 134.15%
Exactly 211.30%
Exactly 32.49%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals7.83%
Wins by 3+ goals1.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals24.41%
Wins by 3+ goals9.40%
Wins by 4+ goals2.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.71%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal15.67%
Wins by 2 goals5.87%
Wins by 3 goals1.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.07%
Wins by 2 goals15.01%
Wins by 3 goals6.50%
Wins by 4 goals2.19%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.21%9.79%
1.567.46%32.54%
2.541.02%58.98%
3.520.55%79.45%
4.58.65%91.35%
5.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.09%40.91%
1.522.53%77.47%
2.56.18%93.82%
3.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.06%23.94%
1.541.84%58.16%
2.517.37%82.63%
3.55.71%94.29%
4.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.90%34.10%
1.529.21%70.79%
2.59.48%90.52%
3.52.40%97.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Watford
Score012345
0
9.79%
14.00%
10.01%
4.77%
1.71%
0.49%
1
8.75%
12.51%
8.95%
4.26%
1.52%
0.44%
2
3.91%
5.59%
4.00%
1.91%
0.68%
0.19%
3
1.17%
1.67%
1.19%
0.57%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.26%
0.37%
0.27%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
Millwall
1-08.75%
2-03.91%
2-15.59%
3-01.17%
3-11.67%
3-21.19%
4-00.26%
4-10.37%
4-20.27%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-09.79%
1-112.51%
2-24.00%
3-30.57%
Watford
0-114.00%
0-210.01%
1-28.95%
0-34.77%
1-34.26%
2-31.91%
0-41.71%
1-41.52%
2-40.68%
3-40.20%
0-50.49%
1-50.44%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Watford
Score01234
0
34.10%
22.57%
7.47%
1.65%
0.27%
1
14.11%
9.34%
3.09%
0.68%
0.11%
2
2.92%
1.93%
0.64%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.40%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-014.11%
2-02.92%
2-11.93%
3-00.40%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-034.10%
1-19.34%
2-20.64%
Watford
0-122.57%
0-27.47%
1-23.09%
0-31.65%
1-30.68%
2-30.14%
0-40.27%
1-40.11%
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