Reading at Watford

Updated

Reading

18.5%22.7%58.8%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.82
0Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Reading
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Preston North End+130
T 0-0 at Luton Town+285
L 1-2 at Burnley+465
W 0-2 vs Bristol City+155
L 2-3 at Swansea City+285
Watford
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Coventry City-120
W 2-1 at Cardiff City+150
W 1-0 at Wigan Athletic+140
W 0-4 vs Luton Town+130
L 0-3 at Millwall+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reading+408+356+330+305+379+305+379+392.5
Watford-136-110-110-112-111-112-110-104.8
Draw+274+237+215+215+241+215+241+250.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reading+300---+330+350+350+392.5
Watford-140----140-115-115-104.8
Draw+260---+220+240+240+250.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reading: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reading: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reading: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reading ML moved from +379 to +367
Watford ML moved from -124 to -131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reading: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reading: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reading: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reading ML moved from +365 to +350
Watford ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½+123o2¼-108o2¼-101o2½+118o2¼-101o2¼-101o2½+124
Underu2½+102u2½-145u2¼-112u2¼-119u2½-133u2¼-119u2½-133u2½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+124
Under-----u2½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.51%
Exactly 224.29%
Exactly 415.11%
Exactly 63.76%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.78%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 58.26%
Exactly 71.47%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Reading
Exactly 040.23%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.68%
Exactly 35.06%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 016.17%
Exactly 129.47%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 316.30%
Exactly 47.42%
Exactly 52.70%
Exactly 60.82%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.22%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 39.52%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Reading
Exactly 065.60%
Exactly 127.66%
Exactly 25.83%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 043.02%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 215.30%
Exactly 34.30%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Reading
Wins by 2+ goals6.03%
Wins by 3+ goals1.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals33.97%
Wins by 3+ goals15.81%
Wins by 4+ goals6.04%
Wins by 5+ goals1.92%
Wins by 6+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Reading
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Reading
Wins by 1 goal12.40%
Wins by 2 goals4.53%
Wins by 3 goals1.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.81%
Wins by 2 goals18.15%
Wins by 3 goals9.77%
Wins by 4 goals4.12%
Wins by 5 goals1.42%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.49%6.51%
1.575.71%24.29%
2.551.43%48.57%
3.529.30%70.70%
4.514.19%85.81%
5.55.94%94.06%
6.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Reading Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.77%40.23%
1.523.14%76.86%
2.56.46%93.54%
3.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.83%16.17%
1.554.36%45.64%
2.527.52%72.48%
3.511.22%88.78%
4.53.80%96.20%
5.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.78%28.22%
1.536.08%63.92%
2.513.49%86.51%
3.53.97%96.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Reading
Watford
Score012345
0
6.51%
11.85%
10.80%
6.56%
2.99%
1.09%
1
5.93%
10.79%
9.83%
5.97%
2.72%
0.99%
2
2.70%
4.91%
4.48%
2.72%
1.24%
0.45%
3
0.82%
1.49%
1.36%
0.83%
0.38%
0.14%
4
0.19%
0.34%
0.31%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
Reading
1-05.93%
2-02.70%
2-14.91%
3-00.82%
3-11.49%
3-21.36%
4-00.19%
4-10.34%
4-20.31%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-06.51%
1-110.79%
2-24.48%
3-30.83%
Watford
0-111.85%
0-210.80%
1-29.83%
0-36.56%
1-35.97%
2-32.72%
0-42.99%
1-42.72%
2-41.24%
3-40.38%
0-51.09%
1-50.99%
2-50.45%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Reading
Watford
Score012345
0
28.22%
23.80%
10.04%
2.82%
0.60%
0.10%
1
11.90%
10.04%
4.23%
1.19%
0.25%
0.04%
2
2.51%
2.12%
0.89%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.35%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Reading
1-011.90%
2-02.51%
2-12.12%
3-00.35%
3-10.30%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-028.22%
1-110.04%
2-20.89%
Watford
0-123.80%
0-210.04%
1-24.23%
0-32.82%
1-31.19%
2-30.25%
0-40.60%
1-40.25%
0-50.10%
Luton Town at Stoke City
Sunderland at Birmingham City