Millwall at Middlesbrough

Updated

Millwall

20.6%25.2%54.2%
Millwall WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.59
0Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Rotherham United-200
T 0-0 vs Bristol City-135
W 2-0 at Watford+285
T 1-1 vs Wigan Athletic-105
L 0-3 at Sunderland+180
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 3-1 at Birmingham City+105
W 2-1 at Blackburn+130
W 1-4 vs Wigan Athletic-160
L 1-3 at Burnley+285
W 1-2 vs Luton Town-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+295+272+265+215+309+215+309+322.1
Middlesbrough-105+114+105+120+103+120+120+109.5
Draw+230+230+235+225+239+225+239+249.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+300---+270+285+285+322.1
Middlesbrough-105----115+105+105+109.5
Draw+245---+210+230+230+249.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +230 to +220
Middlesbrough ML moved from +120 to +105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +315 to +280
No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-143o2¼-102o2¼-106o2½+118o2¼-106o2-143o2½+124
Underu2¼-102u2+121u2¼-118u2¼-114u2½-133u2¼-114u2½-133u2½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+124
Under-----u2½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.57%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 413.01%
Exactly 62.62%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.05%
Exactly 321.18%
Exactly 56.40%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 041.86%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.87%
Exactly 34.61%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 020.47%
Exactly 132.47%
Exactly 225.75%
Exactly 313.62%
Exactly 45.40%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.06%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 42.24%
 
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 37.87%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 066.82%
Exactly 126.94%
Exactly 25.43%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 047.97%
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 212.94%
Exactly 33.17%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals6.64%
Wins by 3+ goals1.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals28.78%
Wins by 3+ goals12.10%
Wins by 4+ goals4.13%
Wins by 5+ goals1.17%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal13.95%
Wins by 2 goals5.03%
Wins by 3 goals1.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal25.41%
Wins by 2 goals16.69%
Wins by 3 goals7.96%
Wins by 4 goals2.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.90%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.43%8.57%
1.570.38%29.62%
2.544.52%55.48%
3.523.33%76.67%
4.510.32%89.68%
5.53.92%96.08%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.14%41.86%
1.521.68%78.32%
2.55.81%94.19%
3.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.53%20.47%
1.547.07%52.93%
2.521.31%78.69%
3.57.70%92.30%
4.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.94%32.06%
1.531.47%68.53%
2.510.73%89.27%
3.52.86%97.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
8.57%
13.59%
10.78%
5.70%
2.26%
0.72%
1
7.46%
11.84%
9.39%
4.96%
1.97%
0.62%
2
3.25%
5.15%
4.09%
2.16%
0.86%
0.27%
3
0.94%
1.50%
1.19%
0.63%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.21%
0.33%
0.26%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
Millwall
1-07.46%
2-03.25%
2-15.15%
3-00.94%
3-11.50%
3-21.19%
4-00.21%
4-10.33%
4-20.26%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.57%
1-111.84%
2-24.09%
3-30.63%
Middlesbrough
0-113.59%
0-210.78%
1-29.39%
0-35.70%
1-34.96%
2-32.16%
0-42.26%
1-41.97%
2-40.86%
3-40.25%
0-50.72%
1-50.62%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
32.06%
23.55%
8.65%
2.12%
0.39%
1
12.92%
9.49%
3.49%
0.85%
0.16%
2
2.61%
1.91%
0.70%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.35%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-012.92%
2-02.61%
2-11.91%
3-00.35%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-032.06%
1-19.49%
2-20.70%
Middlesbrough
0-123.55%
0-28.65%
1-23.49%
0-32.12%
1-30.85%
2-30.17%
0-40.39%
1-40.16%
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