Watford at Reading

Updated

Watford

35.0%28.4%36.7%
Watford WinDrawReading Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.17
2Final Score 2

Reading

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+335
T 1-1 vs Rotherham United-175
W 0-2 vs Blackpool-125
W 1-0 at Norwich City+320
L 0-4 at Swansea City+290
Reading
Money Line
L 0-4 at Stoke City+325
T 2-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+170
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion+515
T 1-1 at Norwich City+445
W 1-2 vs Swansea City+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+160+153+150+135+151+135+153+157.4
Reading+175+201+195+200+212+200+212+220.0
Draw+220+219+210+210+226+210+226+234.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+160---+135+150+150+157.4
Reading+180---+170+195+195+220.0
Draw+220---+200+220+220+234.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Reading: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +159 to +140
Reading ML moved from +205 to +197

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Reading: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
No Steam Moves On Reading ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2-143o2¼-102o2¼-105o2-137o2¼-105o2-137o2-128
Underu2¼-112u2+121u2¼-118u2¼-115u2+122u2¼-115u2¼-115u2+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-128
Under-----u2+128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.01%
Exactly 226.51%
Exactly 411.71%
Exactly 62.07%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 123.04%
Exactly 320.34%
Exactly 55.39%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 032.18%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.68%
Exactly 37.82%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Reading
Exactly 031.09%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 38.26%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.45%
Exactly 219.56%
Exactly 41.85%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 059.16%
Exactly 131.05%
Exactly 28.15%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Reading
Exactly 058.22%
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 28.52%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals14.15%
Wins by 3+ goals4.37%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Reading
Wins by 2+ goals15.31%
Wins by 3+ goals4.93%
Wins by 4+ goals1.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Reading
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal20.71%
Wins by 2 goals9.78%
Wins by 3 goals3.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Reading
Wins by 1 goal21.34%
Wins by 2 goals10.39%
Wins by 3 goals3.66%
Wins by 4 goals1.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.99%10.01%
1.566.96%33.04%
2.540.45%59.55%
3.520.10%79.90%
4.58.40%91.60%
5.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.82%32.18%
1.531.33%68.67%
2.510.65%89.35%
3.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Reading Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.91%31.09%
1.532.58%67.42%
2.511.37%88.63%
3.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.55%34.45%
1.528.84%71.16%
2.59.28%90.72%
3.52.33%97.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Reading
Score012345
0
10.01%
11.69%
6.83%
2.66%
0.78%
0.18%
1
11.34%
13.25%
7.74%
3.01%
0.88%
0.21%
2
6.43%
7.51%
4.39%
1.71%
0.50%
0.12%
3
2.43%
2.84%
1.66%
0.65%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.69%
0.80%
0.47%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.18%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-011.34%
2-06.43%
2-17.51%
3-02.43%
3-12.84%
3-21.66%
4-00.69%
4-10.80%
4-20.47%
4-30.18%
5-00.16%
5-10.18%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.01%
1-113.25%
2-24.39%
3-30.65%
Reading
0-111.69%
0-26.83%
1-27.74%
0-32.66%
1-33.01%
2-31.71%
0-40.78%
1-40.88%
2-40.50%
3-40.19%
0-50.18%
1-50.21%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Reading
Score01234
0
34.45%
18.63%
5.04%
0.91%
0.12%
1
18.08%
9.78%
2.64%
0.48%
0.06%
2
4.75%
2.57%
0.69%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.83%
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Watford
1-018.08%
2-04.75%
2-12.57%
3-00.83%
3-10.45%
3-20.12%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-034.45%
1-19.78%
2-20.69%
Reading
0-118.63%
0-25.04%
1-22.64%
0-30.91%
1-30.48%
2-30.13%
0-40.12%
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