Watford at Sunderland

Updated

Watford

32.0%29.0%39.0%
Watford WinDrawSunderland Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.17
2Final Score 2

Sunderland

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 0-1 at Hull City+165
L 3-1 vs Cardiff City+105
W 0-2 vs Bristol City+100
T 2-2 at Coventry City+250
L 3-2 vs Huddersfield-135
Sunderland
Money Line
W 2-1 at West Bromwich Albion+295
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield-180
W 1-2 vs Birmingham City-130
W 1-0 at Cardiff City+205
T 4-4 vs Hull City-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+310+365+360+305+363+305+365+337.5
Sunderland-110-126-130-123-121-123-121-104.3
Draw+240+273+250+255+279+255+279+283.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+315---+330+375+375+337.5
Sunderland-135----150-135-135-104.3
Draw+220---+235+275+275+283.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 50.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +325 to +315
Sunderland ML moved from -131 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 50.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +315 to +290
Sunderland ML moved from -130 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2½-114o2½-112o2½-111o2½-109o2½-111o2½-109o2½-101
Underu2¼+105u2½-104u2½-108u2½-109u2½-106u2½-109u2½-104u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.97%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 410.91%
Exactly 61.78%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.24%
Exactly 319.74%
Exactly 54.82%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 035.50%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.04%
Exactly 36.57%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Sunderland
Exactly 030.90%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 221.31%
Exactly 38.34%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.94%
Exactly 218.82%
Exactly 41.64%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.42%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 061.91%
Exactly 129.69%
Exactly 27.12%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sunderland
Exactly 058.05%
Exactly 131.57%
Exactly 28.58%
Exactly 31.56%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals12.15%
Wins by 3+ goals3.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Sunderland
Wins by 2+ goals16.51%
Wins by 3+ goals5.37%
Wins by 4+ goals1.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Sunderland
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal19.82%
Wins by 2 goals8.66%
Wins by 3 goals2.72%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Sunderland
Wins by 1 goal22.48%
Wins by 2 goals11.14%
Wins by 3 goals3.98%
Wins by 4 goals1.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.03%10.97%
1.564.79%35.21%
2.538.00%62.00%
3.518.27%81.73%
4.57.36%92.64%
5.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.50%35.50%
1.527.74%72.26%
2.58.70%91.30%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Sunderland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.10%30.90%
1.532.82%67.18%
2.511.50%88.50%
3.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.06%35.94%
1.527.28%72.72%
2.58.46%91.54%
3.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Sunderland
Score012345
0
10.97%
12.88%
7.56%
2.96%
0.87%
0.20%
1
11.36%
13.34%
7.84%
3.07%
0.90%
0.21%
2
5.88%
6.91%
4.06%
1.59%
0.47%
0.11%
3
2.03%
2.39%
1.40%
0.55%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.53%
0.62%
0.36%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-011.36%
2-05.88%
2-16.91%
3-02.03%
3-12.39%
3-21.40%
4-00.53%
4-10.62%
4-20.36%
4-30.14%
5-00.11%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-010.97%
1-113.34%
2-24.06%
3-30.55%
Sunderland
0-112.88%
0-27.56%
1-27.84%
0-32.96%
1-33.07%
2-31.59%
0-40.87%
1-40.90%
2-40.47%
3-40.16%
0-50.20%
1-50.21%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Sunderland
Score01234
0
35.94%
19.54%
5.31%
0.96%
0.13%
1
17.23%
9.37%
2.55%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.13%
2.25%
0.61%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.66%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-017.23%
2-04.13%
2-12.25%
3-00.66%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-035.94%
1-19.37%
2-20.61%
Sunderland
0-119.54%
0-25.31%
1-22.55%
0-30.96%
1-30.46%
2-30.11%
0-40.13%