Birmingham City at Southampton

Updated

Birmingham City

15.2%20.2%64.6%
WinDrawSouthampton Win
0.89Projected Goals 2.06
1Final Score 3

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Hull City+150
L 0-1 at Middlesbrough+360
W 1-3 vs West Bromwich Albion+180
W 1-4 vs Huddersfield+115
L 0-2 at Norwich City+310
Southampton
Money Line
T 2-2 at Preston North End+130
W 2-1 at Hull City+140
T 1-1 vs Rotherham United-350
W 1-0 at Stoke City+155
W 1-3 vs Leeds United+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+452+554+500+500+500+500+554+546.4
Southampton-165-194-200-208-208-208-194-168.0
Draw+323+340+320+325+325+325+340+357.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+380---+405+435+435+546.4
Southampton-190----210-170-170-168.0
Draw+280---+285+325+325+357.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Southampton: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 10.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +550 to +500
Southampton ML moved from -208 to -227

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Southampton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Southampton: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +445 to +435
Southampton ML moved from -190 to -205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-132o2½-136o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾-110o2½-136o2¾+100
Underu2½+112u2½+116u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+100
Under-----u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%
 
No48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.23%
Exactly 222.77%
Exactly 416.52%
Exactly 64.79%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.43%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.75%
Exactly 72.02%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 041.22%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.19%
Exactly 34.78%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 012.69%
Exactly 126.20%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.61%
Exactly 49.60%
Exactly 53.96%
Exactly 61.36%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.51%
Exactly 223.80%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 310.84%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 066.34%
Exactly 127.22%
Exactly 25.59%
Exactly 30.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 038.45%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.56%
Exactly 35.59%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals4.77%
Wins by 3+ goals1.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals40.41%
Wins by 3+ goals20.71%
Wins by 4+ goals8.82%
Wins by 5+ goals3.17%
Wins by 6+ goals0.97%
Wins by 7+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Southampton
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal10.39%
Wins by 2 goals3.63%
Wins by 3 goals0.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal24.19%
Wins by 2 goals19.70%
Wins by 3 goals11.89%
Wins by 4 goals5.65%
Wins by 5 goals2.20%
Wins by 6 goals0.73%
Wins by 7 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.77%5.23%
1.579.33%20.67%
2.556.56%43.44%
3.534.17%65.83%
4.517.65%82.35%
5.57.90%92.10%
6.53.11%96.89%
7.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.78%41.22%
1.522.25%77.75%
2.56.06%93.94%
3.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.31%12.69%
1.561.11%38.89%
2.534.07%65.93%
3.515.47%84.53%
4.55.86%94.14%
5.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.49%25.51%
1.539.64%60.36%
2.515.84%84.16%
3.55.00%95.00%
4.51.30%98.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Southampton
Score012345
0
5.23%
10.80%
11.14%
7.67%
3.96%
1.63%
1
4.64%
9.57%
9.88%
6.80%
3.51%
1.45%
2
2.05%
4.24%
4.38%
3.01%
1.55%
0.64%
3
0.61%
1.25%
1.29%
0.89%
0.46%
0.19%
4
0.13%
0.28%
0.29%
0.20%
0.10%
0.04%
Birmingham City
1-04.64%
2-02.05%
2-14.24%
3-00.61%
3-11.25%
3-21.29%
4-00.13%
4-10.28%
4-20.29%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-05.23%
1-19.57%
2-24.38%
3-30.89%
4-40.10%
Southampton
0-110.80%
0-211.14%
1-29.88%
0-37.67%
1-36.80%
2-33.01%
0-43.96%
1-43.51%
2-41.55%
3-40.46%
0-51.63%
1-51.45%
2-50.64%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Southampton
Score012345
0
25.51%
24.38%
11.65%
3.71%
0.89%
0.17%
1
10.47%
10.01%
4.78%
1.52%
0.36%
0.07%
2
2.15%
2.05%
0.98%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.29%
0.28%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Birmingham City
1-010.47%
2-02.15%
2-12.05%
3-00.29%
3-10.28%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-025.51%
1-110.01%
2-20.98%
Southampton
0-124.38%
0-211.65%
1-24.78%
0-33.71%
1-31.52%
2-30.31%
0-40.89%
1-40.36%
0-50.17%
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