Leeds United at Southampton

Updated

Leeds United

42.3%25.9%31.8%
Leeds United WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.44Projected Goals 1.21
1Final Score 3

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Watford-130
T 0-0 at Hull City+100
W 3-0 at Millwall+115
T 0-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday-210
W 4-3 at Ipswich Town+220
Southampton
Money Line
L 1-2 at Middlesbrough+200
L 1-0 vs Ipswich Town+130
L 4-1 vs Leicester City+140
L 0-5 at Sunderland+140
W 1-2 vs Queens Park Rangers-300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+137+132+130+126+126+126+132+143.8
Southampton+190+196+185+179+179+179+196+201.0
Draw+265+269+250+260+260+260+269+288.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+130---+115+145+145+143.8
Southampton+195---+175+165+175+201.0
Draw+260---+235+275+275+288.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 10.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +136 to +129
Southampton ML moved from +183 to +162

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Leeds United ML
Southampton ML moved from +195 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106o3-102o3-102o3-106o3-106o3-106o3-102o3+104
Underu3-124u3-116u3-118u3-114u3-114u3-114u3-114u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+104
Under-----u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-115 to o2¾-139
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%
 
No46.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.04%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 414.55%
Exactly 63.42%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.68%
Exactly 321.92%
Exactly 57.72%
Exactly 71.29%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 023.71%
Exactly 134.12%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 311.78%
Exactly 44.24%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 029.68%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 221.90%
Exactly 38.87%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.26%
Exactly 222.09%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 39.05%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 051.35%
Exactly 134.22%
Exactly 211.40%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 056.98%
Exactly 132.05%
Exactly 29.01%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals20.22%
Wins by 3+ goals7.64%
Wins by 4+ goals2.32%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals13.28%
Wins by 3+ goals4.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.13%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal21.97%
Wins by 2 goals12.58%
Wins by 3 goals5.32%
Wins by 4 goals1.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.47%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal18.54%
Wins by 2 goals8.96%
Wins by 3 goals3.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.96%7.04%
1.574.29%25.71%
2.549.50%50.50%
3.527.58%72.42%
4.513.03%86.97%
5.55.31%94.69%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.29%23.71%
1.542.17%57.83%
2.517.61%82.39%
3.55.83%94.17%
4.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.32%29.68%
1.534.27%65.73%
2.512.37%87.63%
3.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.74%29.26%
1.534.78%65.22%
2.512.68%87.32%
3.53.63%96.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Southampton
Score012345
0
7.04%
8.55%
5.19%
2.10%
0.64%
0.16%
1
10.13%
12.30%
7.47%
3.03%
0.92%
0.22%
2
7.29%
8.85%
5.38%
2.18%
0.66%
0.16%
3
3.50%
4.25%
2.58%
1.04%
0.32%
0.08%
4
1.26%
1.53%
0.93%
0.38%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.36%
0.44%
0.27%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Leeds United
1-010.13%
2-07.29%
2-18.85%
3-03.50%
3-14.25%
3-22.58%
4-01.26%
4-11.53%
4-20.93%
4-30.38%
5-00.36%
5-10.44%
5-20.27%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.04%
1-112.30%
2-25.38%
3-31.04%
4-40.11%
Southampton
0-18.55%
0-25.19%
1-27.47%
0-32.10%
1-33.03%
2-32.18%
0-40.64%
1-40.92%
2-40.66%
3-40.32%
0-50.16%
1-50.22%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Southampton
Score01234
0
29.26%
16.46%
4.63%
0.87%
0.12%
1
19.50%
10.97%
3.08%
0.58%
0.08%
2
6.50%
3.65%
1.03%
0.19%
0.03%
3
1.44%
0.81%
0.23%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.24%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-019.50%
2-06.50%
2-13.65%
3-01.44%
3-10.81%
3-20.23%
4-00.24%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-029.26%
1-110.97%
2-21.03%
Southampton
0-116.46%
0-24.63%
1-23.08%
0-30.87%
1-30.58%
2-30.19%
0-40.12%