Watford at Leeds United

Updated

Watford

13.4%19.2%67.3%
WinDrawLeeds United Win
0.83Projected Goals 2.14
0Final Score 3

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 2-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+125
W 0-2 vs Birmingham City+100
T 3-3 at Coventry City+225
L 1-0 vs Blackburn+120
L 0-1 at Stoke City+220
Leeds United
Money Line
T 0-0 at Hull City+100
W 3-0 at Millwall+115
T 0-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday-210
W 4-3 at Ipswich Town+220
T 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+340+365+340+300+305+300+365+332.4
Leeds United-120-134-135-135-135-135-134-113.4
Draw+250+296+280+290+290+290+296+321.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+300---+315+335+335+332.4
Leeds United-145----150-130-130-113.4
Draw+250---+250+290+290+321.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Leeds United: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 30.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +357 to +344
Leeds United ML moved from -127 to -137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Leeds United: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +325 to +315
Leeds United ML moved from -145 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-139o2¾-112o2¾-118o2¾-115o2¾-118o2½-139o2¾-107
Underu2½-110u2½+117u2¾-108u2¾-102u2¾-105u2¾-102u2¾-102u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-107
Under-----u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.9%
 
No50.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.13%
Exactly 222.62%
Exactly 416.64%
Exactly 64.89%
Exactly 80.77%
 
Exactly 115.23%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.88%
Exactly 72.08%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 043.44%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.10%
Exactly 34.20%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 011.80%
Exactly 125.22%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 319.19%
Exactly 410.26%
Exactly 54.38%
Exactly 61.56%
Exactly 70.48%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.27%
Exactly 223.91%
Exactly 43.77%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.76%
Exactly 310.96%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 067.98%
Exactly 126.24%
Exactly 25.06%
Exactly 30.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 037.18%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.20%
Exactly 36.00%
Exactly 41.48%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals4.02%
Wins by 3+ goals0.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals43.21%
Wins by 3+ goals22.81%
Wins by 4+ goals10.03%
Wins by 5+ goals3.73%
Wins by 6+ goals1.18%
Wins by 7+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Leeds United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Watford
Wins by 1 goal9.39%
Wins by 2 goals3.10%
Wins by 3 goals0.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal24.08%
Wins by 2 goals20.41%
Wins by 3 goals12.78%
Wins by 4 goals6.30%
Wins by 5 goals2.55%
Wins by 6 goals0.87%
Wins by 7 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.87%5.13%
1.579.64%20.36%
2.557.02%42.98%
3.534.62%65.38%
4.517.98%82.02%
5.58.10%91.90%
6.53.21%96.79%
7.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.56%43.44%
1.520.34%79.66%
2.55.24%94.76%
3.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.20%11.80%
1.562.98%37.02%
2.536.04%63.96%
3.516.84%83.16%
4.56.59%93.41%
5.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.73%25.27%
1.539.97%60.03%
2.516.06%83.94%
3.55.10%94.90%
4.51.33%98.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Leeds United
Score012345
0
5.13%
10.96%
11.71%
8.34%
4.46%
1.90%
1
4.27%
9.13%
9.76%
6.95%
3.71%
1.59%
2
1.78%
3.81%
4.07%
2.90%
1.55%
0.66%
3
0.50%
1.06%
1.13%
0.81%
0.43%
0.18%
4
0.10%
0.22%
0.24%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
Watford
1-04.27%
2-01.78%
2-13.81%
3-00.50%
3-11.06%
3-21.13%
4-00.10%
4-10.22%
4-20.24%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-05.13%
1-19.13%
2-24.07%
3-30.81%
Leeds United
0-110.96%
0-211.71%
1-29.76%
0-38.34%
1-36.95%
2-32.90%
0-44.46%
1-43.71%
2-41.55%
3-40.43%
0-51.90%
1-51.59%
2-50.66%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Leeds United
Score012345
0
25.27%
25.01%
12.37%
4.08%
1.01%
0.20%
1
9.76%
9.65%
4.78%
1.57%
0.39%
0.08%
2
1.88%
1.86%
0.92%
0.30%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.24%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-09.76%
2-01.88%
2-11.86%
3-00.24%
3-10.24%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-025.27%
1-19.65%
2-20.92%
Leeds United
0-125.01%
0-212.37%
1-24.78%
0-34.08%
1-31.57%
2-30.30%
0-41.01%
1-40.39%
0-50.20%