Birmingham City at Watford

Updated

Birmingham City

13.5%20.5%66.0%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.76Projected Goals 1.99
0Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Millwall+140
W 1-2 vs Plymouth Argyle-130
W 2-0 at Bristol City+230
W 0-1 vs Leeds United+245
T 1-1 at Swansea City+320
Watford
Money Line
T 3-3 at Coventry City+225
L 1-0 vs Blackburn+120
L 0-1 at Stoke City+220
T 0-0 vs Plymouth Argyle-145
W 0-4 vs Queens Park Rangers-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+278+289+275+250+286+250+289+282.9
Watford+103+104+100-104+101-104+104+114.6
Draw+253+242+240+235+250+235+250+266.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+280---+260+290+290+282.9
Watford+100----115+100+100+114.6
Draw+250---+220+240+240+266.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +250 to +240
Watford ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +275 to +260
Watford ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-103o2½+107o2¼-122o2¼-119o2¼-116o2¼-119o2¼-116o2¼-108
Underu2½-113u2½-125u2¼+102u2¼-101u2¼-102u2¼-101u2½-125u2¼+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-108
Under-----u2¼+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.38%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 415.25%
Exactly 63.85%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.56%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.39%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 046.52%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 213.62%
Exactly 33.48%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 013.72%
Exactly 127.25%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.92%
Exactly 48.90%
Exactly 53.54%
Exactly 61.17%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.97%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 39.64%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 070.16%
Exactly 124.86%
Exactly 24.40%
Exactly 30.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 039.86%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.86%
Exactly 35.17%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals3.83%
Wins by 3+ goals0.82%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals40.84%
Wins by 3+ goals20.52%
Wins by 4+ goals8.49%
Wins by 5+ goals2.92%
Wins by 6+ goals0.82%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Watford
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal9.67%
Wins by 2 goals3.01%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.09%
Wins by 2 goals20.31%
Wins by 3 goals12.03%
Wins by 4 goals5.57%
Wins by 5 goals2.11%
Wins by 6 goals0.66%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.62%6.38%
1.576.06%23.94%
2.551.90%48.10%
3.529.73%70.27%
4.514.49%85.51%
5.56.10%93.90%
6.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.48%46.52%
1.517.88%82.12%
2.54.26%95.74%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.28%13.72%
1.559.03%40.97%
2.531.96%68.04%
3.514.04%85.96%
4.55.14%94.86%
5.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.03%27.97%
1.536.40%63.60%
2.513.70%86.30%
3.54.06%95.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Watford
Score012345
0
6.38%
12.68%
12.59%
8.34%
4.14%
1.64%
1
4.88%
9.70%
9.64%
6.38%
3.17%
1.26%
2
1.87%
3.71%
3.69%
2.44%
1.21%
0.48%
3
0.48%
0.95%
0.94%
0.62%
0.31%
0.12%
Birmingham City
1-04.88%
2-01.87%
2-13.71%
3-00.48%
3-10.95%
3-20.94%
Draw
0-06.38%
1-19.70%
2-23.69%
3-30.62%
Watford
0-112.68%
0-212.59%
1-29.64%
0-38.34%
1-36.38%
2-32.44%
0-44.14%
1-43.17%
2-41.21%
3-40.31%
0-51.64%
1-51.26%
2-50.48%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Watford
Score012345
0
27.97%
25.72%
11.83%
3.63%
0.83%
0.15%
1
9.91%
9.12%
4.19%
1.29%
0.30%
0.05%
2
1.76%
1.61%
0.74%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.21%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Birmingham City
1-09.91%
2-01.76%
2-11.61%
3-00.21%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-027.97%
1-19.12%
2-20.74%
Watford
0-125.72%
0-211.83%
1-24.19%
0-33.63%
1-31.29%
2-30.23%
0-40.83%
1-40.30%
0-50.15%
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