Southampton at Stoke City

Updated

Southampton

29.9%26.7%43.4%
Southampton WinDrawStoke City Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.39
1Final Score 0

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Leeds United+175
L 1-2 at Middlesbrough+200
L 1-0 vs Ipswich Town+130
L 4-1 vs Leicester City+140
L 0-5 at Sunderland+140
Stoke City
Money Line
W 3-2 at Bristol City+195
L 3-1 vs Hull City+100
T 2-2 at Huddersfield+150
L 0-1 at Norwich City+295
L 2-0 vs Preston North End-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+139+151+155+147+147+147+155+166.9
Stoke City+196+189+180+192+192+192+192+215.6
Draw+252+239+210+200+200+200+239+224.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+130---+145+155+155+166.9
Stoke City+150---+150+170+170+215.6
Draw+240---+215+245+245+224.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Stoke City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +153 to +147
Stoke City ML moved from +170 to +163

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Stoke City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Southampton: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +165 to +155
Stoke City ML moved from +170 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-131o2½-112o2½-118o2½-112o2½-112o2½-112o2½-112o2½-102
Underu2½+111u2½-104u2½-102u2½-108u2½-108u2½-108u2½-102u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-102
Under-----u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.30%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 413.27%
Exactly 62.74%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.65%
Exactly 321.33%
Exactly 56.61%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 033.20%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.18%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 024.99%
Exactly 134.65%
Exactly 224.03%
Exactly 311.11%
Exactly 43.85%
Exactly 51.07%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.59%
Exactly 220.98%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.06%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 060.02%
Exactly 130.64%
Exactly 27.82%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 052.62%
Exactly 133.79%
Exactly 210.85%
Exactly 32.32%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals11.60%
Wins by 3+ goals3.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals20.48%
Wins by 3+ goals7.58%
Wins by 4+ goals2.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal18.17%
Wins by 2 goals8.15%
Wins by 3 goals2.67%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal22.85%
Wins by 2 goals12.90%
Wins by 3 goals5.33%
Wins by 4 goals1.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.70%8.30%
1.571.05%28.95%
2.545.34%54.66%
3.524.01%75.99%
4.510.74%89.26%
5.54.13%95.87%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.80%33.20%
1.530.19%69.81%
2.510.01%89.99%
3.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.01%24.99%
1.540.36%59.64%
2.516.33%83.67%
3.55.22%94.78%
4.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.41%31.59%
1.532.01%67.99%
2.511.04%88.96%
3.52.98%97.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Stoke City
Score012345
0
8.30%
11.51%
7.98%
3.69%
1.28%
0.35%
1
9.15%
12.69%
8.80%
4.07%
1.41%
0.39%
2
5.04%
6.99%
4.85%
2.24%
0.78%
0.22%
3
1.85%
2.57%
1.78%
0.82%
0.29%
0.08%
4
0.51%
0.71%
0.49%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.16%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Southampton
1-09.15%
2-05.04%
2-16.99%
3-01.85%
3-12.57%
3-21.78%
4-00.51%
4-10.71%
4-20.49%
4-30.23%
5-00.11%
5-10.16%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-08.30%
1-112.69%
2-24.85%
3-30.82%
Stoke City
0-111.51%
0-27.98%
1-28.80%
0-33.69%
1-34.07%
2-32.24%
0-41.28%
1-41.41%
2-40.78%
3-40.29%
0-50.35%
1-50.39%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Stoke City
Score01234
0
31.59%
20.28%
6.51%
1.39%
0.22%
1
16.12%
10.35%
3.32%
0.71%
0.11%
2
4.11%
2.64%
0.85%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.70%
0.45%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Southampton
1-016.12%
2-04.11%
2-12.64%
3-00.70%
3-10.45%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-031.59%
1-110.35%
2-20.85%
Stoke City
0-120.28%
0-26.51%
1-23.32%
0-31.39%
1-30.71%
2-30.18%
0-40.22%
1-40.11%
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