Millwall at Watford

Updated

Millwall

21.6%25.9%52.5%
Millwall WinDrawWatford Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.52
2Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+165
T 1-1 at Preston North End+210
T 2-2 vs Hull City+140
W 2-0 at Plymouth Argyle+175
L 3-0 vs Swansea City+115
Watford
Money Line
W 1-0 at Swansea City+200
W 0-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday-140
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+185
L 0-2 at Sunderland+265
L 3-2 vs Middlesbrough+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+274+279+265+265+265+265+279+299.3
Watford+109+115+115+101+101+101+115+119.9
Draw+240+222+205+210+210+210+222+239.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+220---+265+285+285+299.3
Watford+105----110+110+110+119.9
Draw+205---+195+215+215+239.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +288 to +279
Watford ML moved from +112 to +101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +285 to +275
Watford ML moved from +105 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2-122o2-120o2-121o2-121o2-121o2-120o2-110
Underu2½-126u2+104u2+100u2+101u2+101u2+101u2+104u2+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-110
Under-----u2+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.09%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 412.52%
Exactly 62.40%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.80%
Exactly 320.89%
Exactly 56.01%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 041.69%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.95%
Exactly 34.65%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 021.80%
Exactly 133.21%
Exactly 225.29%
Exactly 312.84%
Exactly 44.89%
Exactly 51.49%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.95%
Exactly 220.31%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.52%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 066.69%
Exactly 127.01%
Exactly 25.47%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 049.40%
Exactly 134.84%
Exactly 212.28%
Exactly 32.89%
Exactly 40.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals7.02%
Wins by 3+ goals1.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals27.03%
Wins by 3+ goals10.95%
Wins by 4+ goals3.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.92%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal14.57%
Wins by 2 goals5.30%
Wins by 3 goals1.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.36%
Wins by 2 goals16.08%
Wins by 3 goals7.39%
Wins by 4 goals2.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.76%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.91%9.09%
1.569.11%30.89%
2.542.98%57.02%
3.522.09%77.91%
4.59.56%90.44%
5.53.56%96.44%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.31%41.69%
1.521.83%78.17%
2.55.88%94.12%
3.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.20%21.80%
1.544.99%55.01%
2.519.70%80.30%
3.56.86%93.14%
4.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.05%32.95%
1.530.47%69.53%
2.510.17%89.83%
3.52.65%97.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Watford
Score012345
0
9.09%
13.85%
10.54%
5.35%
2.04%
0.62%
1
7.95%
12.11%
9.22%
4.68%
1.78%
0.54%
2
3.48%
5.30%
4.04%
2.05%
0.78%
0.24%
3
1.01%
1.54%
1.18%
0.60%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.22%
0.34%
0.26%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
Millwall
1-07.95%
2-03.48%
2-15.30%
3-01.01%
3-11.54%
3-21.18%
4-00.22%
4-10.34%
4-20.26%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-09.09%
1-112.11%
2-24.04%
3-30.60%
Watford
0-113.85%
0-210.54%
1-29.22%
0-35.35%
1-34.68%
2-32.05%
0-42.04%
1-41.78%
2-40.78%
3-40.23%
0-50.62%
1-50.54%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Watford
Score01234
0
32.95%
23.24%
8.19%
1.93%
0.34%
1
13.34%
9.41%
3.32%
0.78%
0.14%
2
2.70%
1.91%
0.67%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.36%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-013.34%
2-02.70%
2-11.91%
3-00.36%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-032.95%
1-19.41%
2-20.67%
Watford
0-123.24%
0-28.19%
1-23.32%
0-31.93%
1-30.78%
2-30.16%
0-40.34%
1-40.14%
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