Watford at Sunderland

Updated

Watford

41.2%28.3%30.5%
Watford WinDrawSunderland Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.03
0Final Score 2

Sunderland

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Middlesbrough+165
L 0-3 at Leeds United+335
T 2-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+125
W 0-2 vs Birmingham City+100
T 3-3 at Coventry City+225
Sunderland
Money Line
W 3-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+120
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City-110
W 3-1 at Blackburn+185
W 3-1 at Queens Park Rangers+130
W 0-5 vs Southampton+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+226+262+240+210+210+210+262+241.1
Sunderland+120+108+115+105+105+105+115+125.5
Draw+258+254+230+245+245+245+254+279.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+265---+250+265+265+241.1
Sunderland-130----115+105+105+125.5
Draw+245---+225+245+245+279.6

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Watford: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 50.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 30.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +255 to +240
Sunderland ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Watford: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 50.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 40.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +300 to +270
Sunderland ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-123o2½-119o2½-118o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2½+105u2½+101u2½-102u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½+101u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.19%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 411.55%
Exactly 62.01%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.27%
Exactly 320.23%
Exactly 55.28%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 028.67%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 222.38%
Exactly 39.32%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Sunderland
Exactly 035.54%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.02%
Exactly 36.56%
Exactly 41.70%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.73%
Exactly 219.42%
Exactly 41.81%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.84%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 056.07%
Exactly 132.44%
Exactly 29.38%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sunderland
Exactly 061.94%
Exactly 129.67%
Exactly 27.10%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals18.21%
Wins by 3+ goals6.23%
Wins by 4+ goals1.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%
Sunderland
Wins by 2+ goals11.49%
Wins by 3+ goals3.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Sunderland
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal22.93%
Wins by 2 goals11.98%
Wins by 3 goals4.53%
Wins by 4 goals1.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%
Sunderland
Wins by 1 goal18.99%
Wins by 2 goals8.21%
Wins by 3 goals2.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.81%10.19%
1.566.54%33.46%
2.539.97%60.03%
3.519.74%80.26%
4.58.19%91.81%
5.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.33%28.67%
1.535.52%64.48%
2.513.14%86.86%
3.53.82%96.18%

Total Goals Sunderland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.46%35.54%
1.527.69%72.31%
2.58.67%91.33%
3.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.27%34.73%
1.528.54%71.46%
2.59.12%90.88%
3.52.27%97.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Sunderland
Score012345
0
10.19%
10.54%
5.45%
1.88%
0.49%
0.10%
1
12.73%
13.17%
6.81%
2.35%
0.61%
0.13%
2
7.95%
8.23%
4.25%
1.47%
0.38%
0.08%
3
3.31%
3.43%
1.77%
0.61%
0.16%
0.03%
4
1.03%
1.07%
0.55%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.27%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-012.73%
2-07.95%
2-18.23%
3-03.31%
3-13.43%
3-21.77%
4-01.03%
4-11.07%
4-20.55%
4-30.19%
5-00.26%
5-10.27%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-010.19%
1-113.17%
2-24.25%
3-30.61%
Sunderland
0-110.54%
0-25.45%
1-26.81%
0-31.88%
1-32.35%
2-31.47%
0-40.49%
1-40.61%
2-40.38%
3-40.16%
0-50.10%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Sunderland
Score0123
0
34.73%
16.64%
3.98%
0.64%
1
20.09%
9.62%
2.30%
0.37%
2
5.81%
2.78%
0.67%
0.11%
3
1.12%
0.54%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-020.09%
2-05.81%
2-12.78%
3-01.12%
3-10.54%
3-20.13%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-034.73%
1-19.62%
2-20.67%
Sunderland
0-116.64%
0-23.98%
1-22.30%
0-30.64%
1-30.37%
2-30.11%
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