Middlesbrough at Watford

Updated

Middlesbrough

31.8%28.4%39.8%
Middlesbrough WinDrawWatford Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.22
3Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Southampton+120
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+110
L 1-2 at Blackburn+185
L 2-0 vs Queens Park Rangers-180
L 2-4 at West Bromwich Albion+220
Watford
Money Line
L 0-3 at Leeds United+335
T 2-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+125
W 0-2 vs Birmingham City+100
T 3-3 at Coventry City+225
L 1-0 vs Blackburn+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+207+170+160+149+148+149+170+169.4
Watford+136+166+165+165+167+165+167+186.7
Draw+243+239+220+230+230+230+239+257.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+200---+175+165+175+169.4
Watford+135---+125+165+165+186.7
Draw+240---+215+240+240+257.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +158 to +152
Watford ML moved from +146 to +137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +195 to +165
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-111o2½-111o2½-105o2½-106o2½-106o2½-106o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-105u2½-105u2½-115u2½-114u2½-114u2½-114u2½-105u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.22%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 411.52%
Exactly 62.00%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.31%
Exactly 320.21%
Exactly 55.26%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 034.67%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 029.48%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 38.96%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.78%
Exactly 219.40%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.83%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 061.24%
Exactly 130.03%
Exactly 27.36%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 056.80%
Exactly 132.13%
Exactly 29.09%
Exactly 31.71%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals12.19%
Wins by 3+ goals3.55%
Wins by 4+ goals0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals17.29%
Wins by 3+ goals5.80%
Wins by 4+ goals1.55%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal19.51%
Wins by 2 goals8.64%
Wins by 3 goals2.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal22.50%
Wins by 2 goals11.50%
Wins by 3 goals4.25%
Wins by 4 goals1.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.78%10.22%
1.566.47%33.53%
2.539.89%60.11%
3.519.68%80.32%
4.58.15%91.85%
5.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.33%34.67%
1.528.60%71.40%
2.59.15%90.85%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.52%29.48%
1.534.52%65.48%
2.512.52%87.48%
3.53.57%96.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.22%34.78%
1.528.48%71.52%
2.59.09%90.91%
3.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Watford
Score012345
0
10.22%
12.48%
7.63%
3.11%
0.95%
0.23%
1
10.83%
13.22%
8.08%
3.29%
1.00%
0.25%
2
5.73%
7.00%
4.28%
1.74%
0.53%
0.13%
3
2.02%
2.47%
1.51%
0.62%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.54%
0.65%
0.40%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-010.83%
2-05.73%
2-17.00%
3-02.02%
3-12.47%
3-21.51%
4-00.54%
4-10.65%
4-20.40%
4-30.16%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-010.22%
1-113.22%
2-24.28%
3-30.62%
Watford
0-112.48%
0-27.63%
1-28.08%
0-33.11%
1-33.29%
2-31.74%
0-40.95%
1-41.00%
2-40.53%
3-40.19%
0-50.23%
1-50.25%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Watford
Score01234
0
34.78%
19.67%
5.56%
1.05%
0.15%
1
17.06%
9.65%
2.73%
0.51%
0.07%
2
4.18%
2.37%
0.67%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.68%
0.39%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-017.06%
2-04.18%
2-12.37%
3-00.68%
3-10.39%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.78%
1-19.65%
2-20.67%
Watford
0-119.67%
0-25.56%
1-22.73%
0-31.05%
1-30.51%
2-30.13%
0-40.15%
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