Plymouth Argyle at Burnley

Updated

Plymouth Argyle

8.7%15.4%75.9%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.46

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Luton Town+290
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion+615
W 2-3 vs Sunderland+380
L 1-0 vs Stoke City+220
T 1-1 at Queens Park Rangers+405
Burnley
Money Line
T 0-0 at Oxford United+105
W 1-2 vs Portsmouth-215
W 1-0 at Leeds United+380
T 1-1 vs Blackburn-110
L 0-1 at Sunderland+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Plymouth Argyle+575+581+550+510+568+510+581+557.9
Burnley-240-222-235-238-239-238-222-188.0
Draw+360+391+360+375+387+375+391+412.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Plymouth Argyle+550---+525+575+575+557.9
Burnley-220----280-230-230-188.0
Draw+375---+335+385+385+412.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +575 to +525
Burnley ML moved from -215 to -222

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Plymouth Argyle: 10.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Plymouth Argyle ML
Burnley ML moved from -220 to -230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-111o3-108o3-108o3-106o3-108o3-106o3+102
Underu3-115u3-106u3-112u3-112u3-114u3-112u3-106u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+102
Under-----u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.24%
Exactly 221.17%
Exactly 417.63%
Exactly 65.87%
Exactly 81.05%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.40%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 511.15%
Exactly 72.65%
Exactly 90.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 049.48%
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 212.25%
Exactly 32.87%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 08.57%
Exactly 121.05%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 321.19%
Exactly 413.02%
Exactly 56.40%
Exactly 62.62%
Exactly 70.92%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.14%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 44.42%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.87%
Exactly 312.09%
Exactly 51.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 072.20%
Exactly 123.52%
Exactly 23.83%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 032.05%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 37.87%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals2.18%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals53.40%
Wins by 3+ goals31.44%
Wins by 4+ goals15.56%
Wins by 5+ goals6.54%
Wins by 6+ goals2.34%
Wins by 7+ goals0.69%
Wins by 8+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Plymouth Argyle
Burnley
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal6.41%
Wins by 2 goals1.78%
Wins by 3 goals0.35%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal22.42%
Wins by 2 goals21.96%
Wins by 3 goals15.88%
Wins by 4 goals9.02%
Wins by 5 goals4.20%
Wins by 6 goals1.65%
Wins by 7 goals0.55%
Wins by 8 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.76%4.24%
1.582.36%17.64%
2.561.19%38.81%
3.538.88%61.12%
4.521.25%78.75%
5.510.10%89.90%
6.54.23%95.77%
7.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.52%49.48%
1.515.70%84.30%
2.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.43%8.57%
1.570.39%29.61%
2.544.52%55.48%
3.523.34%76.66%
4.510.32%89.68%
5.53.92%96.08%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.86%23.14%
1.542.99%57.01%
2.518.21%81.79%
3.56.12%93.88%
4.51.69%98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Plymouth Argyle
Burnley
Score012345
0
4.24%
10.42%
12.80%
10.48%
6.44%
3.17%
1
2.98%
7.33%
9.00%
7.38%
4.53%
2.23%
2
1.05%
2.58%
3.17%
2.59%
1.59%
0.78%
3
0.25%
0.60%
0.74%
0.61%
0.37%
0.18%
Plymouth Argyle
1-02.98%
2-01.05%
2-12.58%
3-00.25%
3-10.60%
3-20.74%
Draw
0-04.24%
1-17.33%
2-23.17%
3-30.61%
Burnley
0-110.42%
0-212.80%
1-29.00%
0-310.48%
1-37.38%
2-32.59%
0-46.44%
1-44.53%
2-41.59%
3-40.37%
0-53.17%
1-52.23%
2-50.78%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Plymouth Argyle
Burnley
Score012345
0
23.14%
26.33%
14.98%
5.68%
1.62%
0.37%
1
7.54%
8.58%
4.88%
1.85%
0.53%
0.12%
2
1.23%
1.40%
0.79%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Plymouth Argyle
1-07.54%
2-01.23%
2-11.40%
3-00.13%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-023.14%
1-18.58%
2-20.79%
Burnley
0-126.33%
0-214.98%
1-24.88%
0-35.68%
1-31.85%
2-30.30%
0-41.62%
1-40.53%
0-50.37%
1-50.12%