Millwall at Cardiff City

Updated

Millwall

27.6%27.2%45.2%
Millwall WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.38
0Final Score 1

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Preston North End-105
T 1-1 at Queens Park Rangers+210
L 1-0 vs Luton Town+160
W 0-3 vs Sheffield Wednesday+140
T 0-0 at Hull City+220
Cardiff City
Money Line
L 1-4 at Hull City+320
L 2-0 vs Leeds United+370
L 0-1 at Derby County+220
L 2-0 vs Middlesbrough+290
T 1-1 at Swansea City+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+160+132+130+126+130+126+132+144.6
Cardiff City+185+235+220+215+229+215+235+241.0
Draw+190+223+210+210+222+210+223+235.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+145---+125+150+150+144.6
Cardiff City+220---+205+210+210+241.0
Draw+205---+180+205+205+235.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +143 to +136
Cardiff City ML moved from +200 to +187

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 50.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
Cardiff City ML moved from +225 to +210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-110o2-131o2-122o2¼+106o2¼+107o2¼+106o2-122o2¼+115
Underu2-110u2+112u2+102u2¼-126u2¼-127u2¼-126u2¼-126u2¼-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+115
Under-----u2¼-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.19%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 412.44%
Exactly 62.36%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.93%
Exactly 320.83%
Exactly 55.94%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 036.39%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.59%
Exactly 36.26%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 025.24%
Exactly 134.75%
Exactly 223.92%
Exactly 310.98%
Exactly 43.78%
Exactly 51.04%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.11%
Exactly 220.23%
Exactly 42.06%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 062.62%
Exactly 129.31%
Exactly 26.86%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 052.87%
Exactly 133.70%
Exactly 210.74%
Exactly 32.28%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals10.08%
Wins by 3+ goals2.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals21.46%
Wins by 3+ goals7.95%
Wins by 4+ goals2.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Cardiff City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal17.43%
Wins by 2 goals7.28%
Wins by 3 goals2.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal23.74%
Wins by 2 goals13.51%
Wins by 3 goals5.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.81%9.19%
1.568.88%31.12%
2.542.70%57.30%
3.521.87%78.13%
4.59.43%90.57%
5.53.49%96.51%
6.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.61%36.39%
1.526.82%73.18%
2.58.23%91.77%
3.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.76%25.24%
1.540.01%59.99%
2.516.09%83.91%
3.55.11%94.89%
4.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.89%33.11%
1.530.29%69.71%
2.510.07%89.93%
3.52.61%97.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
9.19%
12.65%
8.70%
3.99%
1.37%
0.38%
1
9.29%
12.78%
8.80%
4.04%
1.39%
0.38%
2
4.69%
6.46%
4.45%
2.04%
0.70%
0.19%
3
1.58%
2.18%
1.50%
0.69%
0.24%
0.07%
4
0.40%
0.55%
0.38%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Millwall
1-09.29%
2-04.69%
2-16.46%
3-01.58%
3-12.18%
3-21.50%
4-00.40%
4-10.55%
4-20.38%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-09.19%
1-112.78%
2-24.45%
3-30.69%
Cardiff City
0-112.65%
0-28.70%
1-28.80%
0-33.99%
1-34.04%
2-32.04%
0-41.37%
1-41.39%
2-40.70%
3-40.24%
0-50.38%
1-50.38%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
33.11%
21.10%
6.72%
1.43%
0.23%
1
15.50%
9.88%
3.15%
0.67%
0.11%
2
3.63%
2.31%
0.74%
0.16%
0.02%
3
0.57%
0.36%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-015.50%
2-03.63%
2-12.31%
3-00.57%
3-10.36%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.11%
1-19.88%
2-20.74%
Cardiff City
0-121.10%
0-26.72%
1-23.15%
0-31.43%
1-30.67%
2-30.16%
0-40.23%
1-40.11%
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