Cardiff City at Swansea City

Updated

Cardiff City

24.7%25.0%50.3%
Cardiff City WinDrawSwansea City Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.60
1Final Score 1

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 0-5 at Burnley+520
L 2-0 vs Sunderland+190
L 2-5 at Rotherham United+120
L 4-1 vs Middlesbrough+315
W 1-2 vs Southampton+850
Swansea City
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Preston North End+100
L 0-1 at Middlesbrough+310
L 1-0 vs Millwall+100
T 2-2 at Norwich City+370
W 4-0 at Huddersfield+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+280+280+285+250+288+250+288+281.0
Swansea City+100+103-105+102+100+102+103+119.9
Draw+220+251+230+225+252+225+252+253.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+280---+250+295+295+281.0
Swansea City-105----120-105-105+119.9
Draw+265---+235+250+250+253.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 10.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +289 to +281
Swansea City ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML
No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-107o2½+100o2½-103o2½-101o2½-103o2½+100o2½+106
Underu2½-110u2½-110u2½-120u2½-117u2½-117u2½-117u2½-110u2½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+106
Under-----u2½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.17%
Exactly 224.90%
Exactly 414.40%
Exactly 63.33%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.90%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 57.59%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 035.37%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.10%
Exactly 36.62%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 020.28%
Exactly 132.36%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 313.73%
Exactly 45.48%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.53%
Exactly 221.97%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 38.93%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 061.81%
Exactly 129.74%
Exactly 27.15%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 047.77%
Exactly 135.29%
Exactly 213.03%
Exactly 33.21%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals9.04%
Wins by 3+ goals2.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals26.31%
Wins by 3+ goals10.96%
Wins by 4+ goals3.72%
Wins by 5+ goals1.05%
Wins by 6+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal15.60%
Wins by 2 goals6.51%
Wins by 3 goals1.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal23.95%
Wins by 2 goals15.35%
Wins by 3 goals7.23%
Wins by 4 goals2.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.81%
Wins by 6 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.83%7.17%
1.573.92%26.08%
2.549.02%50.98%
3.527.16%72.84%
4.512.75%87.25%
5.55.16%94.84%
6.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.63%35.37%
1.527.87%72.13%
2.58.77%91.23%
3.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.72%20.28%
1.547.36%52.64%
2.521.55%78.45%
3.57.82%92.18%
4.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.47%29.53%
1.534.45%65.55%
2.512.48%87.52%
3.53.55%96.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Swansea City
Score012345
0
7.17%
11.45%
9.13%
4.86%
1.94%
0.62%
1
7.46%
11.90%
9.49%
5.05%
2.01%
0.64%
2
3.87%
6.18%
4.93%
2.62%
1.05%
0.33%
3
1.34%
2.14%
1.71%
0.91%
0.36%
0.12%
4
0.35%
0.56%
0.44%
0.24%
0.09%
0.03%
Cardiff City
1-07.46%
2-03.87%
2-16.18%
3-01.34%
3-12.14%
3-21.71%
4-00.35%
4-10.56%
4-20.44%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-07.17%
1-111.90%
2-24.93%
3-30.91%
Swansea City
0-111.45%
0-29.13%
1-29.49%
0-34.86%
1-35.05%
2-32.62%
0-41.94%
1-42.01%
2-41.05%
3-40.36%
0-50.62%
1-50.64%
2-50.33%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Swansea City
Score01234
0
29.53%
21.81%
8.06%
1.98%
0.37%
1
14.21%
10.49%
3.88%
0.95%
0.18%
2
3.42%
2.52%
0.93%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.55%
0.40%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Cardiff City
1-014.21%
2-03.42%
2-12.52%
3-00.55%
3-10.40%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-029.53%
1-110.49%
2-20.93%
Swansea City
0-121.81%
0-28.06%
1-23.88%
0-31.98%
1-30.95%
2-30.23%
0-40.37%
1-40.18%