Millwall at Swansea City

Updated

Millwall

23.8%25.9%50.3%
Millwall WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.52
1Final Score 0

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Plymouth Argyle+110
W 1-0 at Sunderland+265
W 1-3 vs Cardiff City-110
W 0-1 vs Leicester City+450
L 0-1 at Huddersfield+215
Swansea City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Norwich City+370
W 4-0 at Huddersfield+240
W 0-1 vs Rotherham United-295
W 0-3 vs Stoke City+165
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+235+267+280+225+259+225+280+254.5
Swansea City+115+105-105+101+103+101+105+119.3
Draw+220+258+250+250+263+250+263+281.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+265---+235+270+270+254.5
Swansea City+105----110+100+100+119.3
Draw+245---+230+255+255+281.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 40.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +267 to +259
Swansea City ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½-117o2½-120o2½-114o2½-116o2½-114o2½-114o2½-104
Underu2¼+102u2½-101u2½+100u2½-106u2½-102u2½-106u2½+100u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.1%
 
No51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.41%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 413.16%
Exactly 62.69%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.82%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 56.52%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 038.37%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.60%
Exactly 35.62%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 021.92%
Exactly 133.27%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 312.77%
Exactly 44.85%
Exactly 51.47%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.78%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 064.18%
Exactly 128.46%
Exactly 26.31%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 049.52%
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 212.23%
Exactly 32.86%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals8.28%
Wins by 3+ goals2.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals25.60%
Wins by 3+ goals10.27%
Wins by 4+ goals3.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.84%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal15.52%
Wins by 2 goals6.10%
Wins by 3 goals1.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal24.59%
Wins by 2 goals15.32%
Wins by 3 goals6.96%
Wins by 4 goals2.47%
Wins by 5 goals0.70%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.59%8.41%
1.570.77%29.23%
2.545.00%55.00%
3.523.73%76.27%
4.510.56%89.44%
5.54.04%95.96%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.63%38.37%
1.524.88%75.12%
2.57.27%92.73%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.08%21.92%
1.544.81%55.19%
2.519.56%80.44%
3.56.79%93.21%
4.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.22%31.78%
1.531.79%68.21%
2.510.91%89.09%
3.52.93%97.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Swansea City
Score012345
0
8.41%
12.76%
9.69%
4.90%
1.86%
0.56%
1
8.06%
12.23%
9.28%
4.70%
1.78%
0.54%
2
3.86%
5.86%
4.44%
2.25%
0.85%
0.26%
3
1.23%
1.87%
1.42%
0.72%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.30%
0.45%
0.34%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Millwall
1-08.06%
2-03.86%
2-15.86%
3-01.23%
3-11.87%
3-21.42%
4-00.30%
4-10.45%
4-20.34%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-08.41%
1-112.23%
2-24.44%
3-30.72%
Swansea City
0-112.76%
0-29.69%
1-29.28%
0-34.90%
1-34.70%
2-32.25%
0-41.86%
1-41.78%
2-40.85%
3-40.27%
0-50.56%
1-50.54%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Swansea City
Score01234
0
31.78%
22.33%
7.85%
1.84%
0.32%
1
14.10%
9.91%
3.48%
0.82%
0.14%
2
3.13%
2.20%
0.77%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.46%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Millwall
1-014.10%
2-03.13%
2-12.20%
3-00.46%
3-10.32%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-031.78%
1-19.91%
2-20.77%
Swansea City
0-122.33%
0-27.85%
1-23.48%
0-31.84%
1-30.82%
2-30.18%
0-40.32%
1-40.14%
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