Cardiff City at Millwall

Updated

Cardiff City

20.9%24.7%54.4%
Cardiff City WinDrawMillwall Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.63
1Final Score 3

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Birmingham City+340
L 3-1 vs Hull City+225
W 2-1 at Coventry City+585
L 2-0 vs Sunderland+160
L 0-2 at Swansea City+300
Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Leicester City+450
L 0-1 at Huddersfield+215
L 1-2 at Rotherham United-140
T 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+220
L 0-2 at Leeds United+1050

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+310+362+340+300+335+300+362+337.6
Millwall+105-108-110-109-102-109-102+109.8
Draw+200+228+215+210+225+210+228+239.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+380---+330+355+355+337.6
Millwall-120----140-110-110+109.8
Draw+235---+220+225+225+239.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 30.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +344 to +335
Millwall ML moved from -106 to -112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Millwall: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +380 to +355
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-112o2-106o2-105o2-101o2+101o2-101o2+101o2+108
Underu2-108u2-110u2-115u2-119u2-119u2-119u2-110u2-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+108
Under-----u2-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-127 to o2½+113
The Under moved from u2½-133 to u2-104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.94%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 413.62%
Exactly 62.91%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.12%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 56.90%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 040.46%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.57%
Exactly 35.00%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 019.63%
Exactly 131.96%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 314.12%
Exactly 45.75%
Exactly 51.87%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.95%
Exactly 221.28%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 065.77%
Exactly 127.56%
Exactly 25.77%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 047.06%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 213.37%
Exactly 33.36%
Exactly 40.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals6.90%
Wins by 3+ goals1.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals29.25%
Wins by 3+ goals12.51%
Wins by 4+ goals4.36%
Wins by 5+ goals1.26%
Wins by 6+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal13.95%
Wins by 2 goals5.17%
Wins by 3 goals1.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal25.10%
Wins by 2 goals16.74%
Wins by 3 goals8.15%
Wins by 4 goals3.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.96%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.06%7.94%
1.571.94%28.06%
2.546.46%53.54%
3.524.95%75.05%
4.511.33%88.67%
5.54.43%95.57%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.54%40.46%
1.522.93%77.07%
2.56.37%93.63%
3.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.37%19.63%
1.548.40%51.60%
2.522.39%77.61%
3.58.27%91.73%
4.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.05%30.95%
1.532.75%67.25%
2.511.46%88.54%
3.53.14%96.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Millwall
Score012345
0
7.94%
12.93%
10.53%
5.71%
2.32%
0.76%
1
7.19%
11.70%
9.52%
5.17%
2.10%
0.68%
2
3.25%
5.29%
4.31%
2.34%
0.95%
0.31%
3
0.98%
1.60%
1.30%
0.71%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.22%
0.36%
0.29%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Cardiff City
1-07.19%
2-03.25%
2-15.29%
3-00.98%
3-11.60%
3-21.30%
4-00.22%
4-10.36%
4-20.29%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-07.94%
1-111.70%
2-24.31%
3-30.71%
Millwall
0-112.93%
0-210.53%
1-29.52%
0-35.71%
1-35.17%
2-32.34%
0-42.32%
1-42.10%
2-40.95%
3-40.29%
0-50.76%
1-50.68%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Millwall
Score01234
0
30.95%
23.33%
8.79%
2.21%
0.42%
1
12.97%
9.77%
3.68%
0.93%
0.17%
2
2.72%
2.05%
0.77%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.38%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Cardiff City
1-012.97%
2-02.72%
2-12.05%
3-00.38%
3-10.29%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-030.95%
1-19.77%
2-20.77%
Millwall
0-123.33%
0-28.79%
1-23.68%
0-32.21%
1-30.93%
2-30.19%
0-40.42%
1-40.17%