Millwall at Leeds United

Updated

Millwall

10.8%17.4%71.9%
WinDrawLeeds United Win
0.75Projected Goals 2.29
0Final Score 2

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Birmingham City+125
T 1-1 at Blackburn+245
W 0-1 vs Watford+150
W 2-1 at Southampton+625
L 2-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+120
Leeds United
Money Line
W 2-0 at Sheffield Wednesday-170
W 0-1 vs Stoke City-270
T 1-1 at Huddersfield-170
W 1-3 vs Leicester City+115
W 2-0 at Plymouth Argyle-260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+700+930+875+900+947+900+947+979.5
Leeds United-250-318-335-370-334-370-318-269.3
Draw+340+449+420+420+435+420+449+461.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+750---+700+1050+1050+979.5
Leeds United-270----350-375-350-269.3
Draw+390---+350+475+475+461.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 10.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +875 to +825
Leeds United ML moved from -326 to -334

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 30.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +900 to +775
Leeds United ML moved from -350 to -375

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-132o2¾-105o2¾-111o2¾-102o2¾-111o2½-132o2¾-101
Underu2½+102u2½+112u2¾-115u2¾-109u2¾-116u2¾-109u2¾-109u2¾+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-101
Under-----u2¾+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.77%
Exactly 222.08%
Exactly 417.04%
Exactly 65.26%
Exactly 80.87%
 
Exactly 114.52%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.37%
Exactly 72.28%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 046.89%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 213.45%
Exactly 33.40%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 010.18%
Exactly 123.25%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 320.24%
Exactly 411.56%
Exactly 55.28%
Exactly 62.01%
Exactly 70.66%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.45%
Exactly 224.26%
Exactly 44.01%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.44%
Exactly 311.39%
Exactly 51.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 070.42%
Exactly 124.70%
Exactly 24.33%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 034.72%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.43%
Exactly 36.85%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals2.89%
Wins by 3+ goals0.56%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals48.31%
Wins by 3+ goals26.92%
Wins by 4+ goals12.54%
Wins by 5+ goals4.95%
Wins by 6+ goals1.66%
Wins by 7+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Leeds United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal7.77%
Wins by 2 goals2.33%
Wins by 3 goals0.50%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal23.49%
Wins by 2 goals21.39%
Wins by 3 goals14.38%
Wins by 4 goals7.59%
Wins by 5 goals3.29%
Wins by 6 goals1.20%
Wins by 7 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.23%4.77%
1.580.71%19.29%
2.558.63%41.37%
3.536.23%63.77%
4.519.19%80.81%
5.58.83%91.17%
6.53.57%96.43%
7.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.11%46.89%
1.517.60%82.40%
2.54.15%95.85%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.82%10.18%
1.566.57%33.43%
2.540.00%60.00%
3.519.76%80.24%
4.58.20%91.80%
5.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.55%24.45%
1.541.12%58.88%
2.516.86%83.14%
3.55.47%94.53%
4.51.46%98.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Leeds United
Score012345
0
4.77%
10.90%
12.46%
9.49%
5.42%
2.48%
1
3.61%
8.26%
9.44%
7.19%
4.11%
1.88%
2
1.37%
3.13%
3.57%
2.72%
1.55%
0.71%
3
0.35%
0.79%
0.90%
0.69%
0.39%
0.18%
Millwall
1-03.61%
2-01.37%
2-13.13%
3-00.35%
3-10.79%
3-20.90%
Draw
0-04.77%
1-18.26%
2-23.57%
3-30.69%
Leeds United
0-110.90%
0-212.46%
1-29.44%
0-39.49%
1-37.19%
2-32.72%
0-45.42%
1-44.11%
2-41.55%
3-40.39%
0-52.48%
1-51.88%
2-50.71%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Leeds United
Score012345
0
24.45%
25.86%
13.68%
4.83%
1.28%
0.27%
1
8.57%
9.07%
4.80%
1.69%
0.45%
0.09%
2
1.50%
1.59%
0.84%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-08.57%
2-01.50%
2-11.59%
3-00.18%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-024.45%
1-19.07%
2-20.84%
Leeds United
0-125.86%
0-213.68%
1-24.80%
0-34.83%
1-31.69%
2-30.30%
0-41.28%
1-40.45%
0-50.27%