Watford at Millwall

Updated

Watford

28.8%28.5%42.8%
Watford WinDrawMillwall Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.26
0Final Score 1

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Huddersfield+100
W 1-0 at Rotherham United-115
L 2-4 at Norwich City+245
L 2-1 vs Leicester City+295
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City-120
Millwall
Money Line
W 2-1 at Southampton+625
L 2-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+120
L 4-0 vs Ipswich Town+285
L 1-2 at Coventry City+370
L 0-1 at Hull City+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+182+193+195+177+195+177+195+199.3
Millwall+161+158+150+152+155+152+158+172.3
Draw+231+222+215+210+222+210+222+234.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+205---+185+195+195+199.3
Millwall+145---+120+150+150+172.3
Draw+220---+210+220+220+234.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +201 to +195
Millwall ML moved from +155 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +205 to +195
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+111o2-146o2¼-105o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+109
Underu2½-131u2+124u2¼-115u2¼-120u2¼-118u2¼-120u2¼-115u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.66%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 411.16%
Exactly 61.86%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.86%
Exactly 319.93%
Exactly 55.00%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 037.58%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.00%
Exactly 35.87%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 028.36%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 222.52%
Exactly 39.46%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.47%
Exactly 219.05%
Exactly 41.71%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.58%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 063.56%
Exactly 128.80%
Exactly 26.53%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 055.80%
Exactly 132.56%
Exactly 29.50%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals10.38%
Wins by 3+ goals2.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals19.14%
Wins by 3+ goals6.62%
Wins by 4+ goals1.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal18.33%
Wins by 2 goals7.55%
Wins by 3 goals2.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal23.60%
Wins by 2 goals12.52%
Wins by 3 goals4.80%
Wins by 4 goals1.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.34%10.66%
1.565.48%34.52%
2.538.77%61.23%
3.518.83%81.17%
4.57.68%92.32%
5.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.42%37.58%
1.525.64%74.36%
2.57.64%92.36%
3.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.64%28.36%
1.535.90%64.10%
2.513.38%86.62%
3.53.92%96.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.53%35.47%
1.527.77%72.23%
2.58.72%91.28%
3.52.13%97.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Millwall
Score012345
0
10.66%
13.43%
8.46%
3.55%
1.12%
0.28%
1
10.43%
13.14%
8.28%
3.48%
1.10%
0.28%
2
5.10%
6.43%
4.05%
1.70%
0.54%
0.14%
3
1.67%
2.10%
1.32%
0.56%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.41%
0.51%
0.32%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Watford
1-010.43%
2-05.10%
2-16.43%
3-01.67%
3-12.10%
3-21.32%
4-00.41%
4-10.51%
4-20.32%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.66%
1-113.14%
2-24.05%
3-30.56%
Millwall
0-113.43%
0-28.46%
1-28.28%
0-33.55%
1-33.48%
2-31.70%
0-41.12%
1-41.10%
2-40.54%
3-40.17%
0-50.28%
1-50.28%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Millwall
Score01234
0
35.47%
20.69%
6.04%
1.17%
0.17%
1
16.07%
9.38%
2.74%
0.53%
0.08%
2
3.64%
2.12%
0.62%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.55%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-016.07%
2-03.64%
2-12.12%
3-00.55%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-035.47%
1-19.38%
2-20.62%
Millwall
0-120.69%
0-26.04%
1-22.74%
0-31.17%
1-30.53%
2-30.12%
0-40.17%
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