Watford at Norwich City

Updated

Watford

28.9%28.4%42.8%
Watford WinDrawNorwich City Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.27
2Final Score 4

Norwich City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Leicester City+295
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City-120
T 0-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+180
T 1-1 at Bristol City+195
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+145
Norwich City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Queens Park Rangers+175
W 1-2 vs Coventry City+150
L 0-1 at Leeds United+690
W 0-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+175
W 2-1 at Hull City+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+230+241+230+205+240+205+241+229.3
Norwich City+110+114+110+111+111+111+114+127.8
Draw+240+257+245+260+265+260+265+288.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+230---+210+245+245+229.3
Norwich City+115----105+110+110+127.8
Draw+255---+240+250+250+288.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +244 to +236
Norwich City ML moved from +120 to +105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 30.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
No Steam Moves On Norwich City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-135o2¾-105o2¾-109o2¾-109o2¾-109o2½-135o2¾+101
Underu2½-105u2½+113u2¾-115u2¾-111u2¾-109u2¾-111u2¾-109u2¾-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+101
Under-----u2¾-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-116 to o2¾-104
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.51%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 411.28%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.67%
Exactly 320.03%
Exactly 55.08%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 037.29%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.14%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Norwich City
Exactly 028.18%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 222.60%
Exactly 39.54%
Exactly 43.02%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.23%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 41.74%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.67%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 063.33%
Exactly 128.93%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Norwich City
Exactly 055.63%
Exactly 132.62%
Exactly 29.57%
Exactly 31.87%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals10.47%
Wins by 3+ goals2.87%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%
Norwich City
Wins by 2+ goals19.20%
Wins by 3+ goals6.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Norwich City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal18.34%
Wins by 2 goals7.60%
Wins by 3 goals2.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Norwich City
Wins by 1 goal23.55%
Wins by 2 goals12.54%
Wins by 3 goals4.82%
Wins by 4 goals1.44%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.49%10.51%
1.565.82%34.18%
2.539.15%60.85%
3.519.12%80.88%
4.57.84%92.16%
5.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.71%37.29%
1.525.93%74.07%
2.57.78%92.22%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Norwich City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.82%28.18%
1.536.13%63.87%
2.513.53%86.47%
3.53.98%96.02%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.77%35.23%
1.528.01%71.99%
2.58.84%91.16%
3.52.18%97.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Norwich City
Score012345
0
10.51%
13.31%
8.43%
3.56%
1.13%
0.29%
1
10.36%
13.13%
8.31%
3.51%
1.11%
0.28%
2
5.11%
6.48%
4.10%
1.73%
0.55%
0.14%
3
1.68%
2.13%
1.35%
0.57%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.41%
0.53%
0.33%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Watford
1-010.36%
2-05.11%
2-16.48%
3-01.68%
3-12.13%
3-21.35%
4-00.41%
4-10.53%
4-20.33%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.51%
1-113.13%
2-24.10%
3-30.57%
Norwich City
0-113.31%
0-28.43%
1-28.31%
0-33.56%
1-33.51%
2-31.73%
0-41.13%
1-41.11%
2-40.55%
3-40.18%
0-50.29%
1-50.28%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Norwich City
Score01234
0
35.23%
20.66%
6.06%
1.18%
0.17%
1
16.09%
9.44%
2.77%
0.54%
0.08%
2
3.68%
2.16%
0.63%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.56%
0.33%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-016.09%
2-03.68%
2-12.16%
3-00.56%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-035.23%
1-19.44%
2-20.63%
Norwich City
0-120.66%
0-26.06%
1-22.77%
0-31.18%
1-30.54%
2-30.12%
0-40.17%