Cardiff City at Watford

Updated

Cardiff City

18.4%23.1%58.5%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.78
1Final Score 0

Watford

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 1-3 at Plymouth Argyle+215
L 3-0 vs Leeds United+425
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+255
L 2-0 vs Leicester City+465
T 2-2 vs Plymouth Argyle+105
Watford
Money Line
T 0-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+180
T 1-1 at Bristol City+195
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+145
T 3-3 at Plymouth Argyle+135
T 1-1 vs Stoke City+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+333+321+310+255+331+255+331+288.2
Watford-118-111-115-111-116-111-111+107.9
Draw+274+261+260+250+268+250+268+282.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+325---+300+350+350+288.2
Watford-115----135-120-120+107.9
Draw+255---+230+250+250+282.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 40.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +339 to +320
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 60.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-134o2½-106o2½-105o2½-109o2½-107o2½-109o2½-105o2½+101
Underu2½+114u2½-110u2½-115u2½-111u2½-111u2½-111u2½-110u2½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+101
Under-----u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-125 to o2½-106
The Under moved from u2¾-112 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.00%
Exactly 224.75%
Exactly 414.58%
Exactly 63.44%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.62%
Exactly 321.94%
Exactly 57.75%
Exactly 71.31%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 041.35%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 216.12%
Exactly 34.75%
Exactly 41.05%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 016.94%
Exactly 130.07%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 315.80%
Exactly 47.02%
Exactly 52.49%
Exactly 60.74%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.20%
Exactly 222.12%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 066.44%
Exactly 127.17%
Exactly 25.55%
Exactly 30.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 043.95%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 214.85%
Exactly 34.07%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals5.90%
Wins by 3+ goals1.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals33.32%
Wins by 3+ goals15.25%
Wins by 4+ goals5.72%
Wins by 5+ goals1.78%
Wins by 6+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal12.48%
Wins by 2 goals4.47%
Wins by 3 goals1.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.09%
Wins by 2 goals18.07%
Wins by 3 goals9.54%
Wins by 4 goals3.94%
Wins by 5 goals1.33%
Wins by 6 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.00%7.00%
1.574.38%25.62%
2.549.62%50.38%
3.527.68%72.32%
4.513.10%86.90%
5.55.35%94.65%
6.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.65%41.35%
1.522.13%77.87%
2.56.01%93.99%
3.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.06%16.94%
1.552.99%47.01%
2.526.29%73.71%
3.510.48%89.52%
4.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.80%29.20%
1.534.85%65.15%
2.512.73%87.27%
3.53.65%96.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Watford
Score012345
0
7.00%
12.44%
11.04%
6.54%
2.90%
1.03%
1
6.18%
10.98%
9.75%
5.77%
2.56%
0.91%
2
2.73%
4.85%
4.31%
2.55%
1.13%
0.40%
3
0.80%
1.43%
1.27%
0.75%
0.33%
0.12%
4
0.18%
0.32%
0.28%
0.17%
0.07%
0.03%
Cardiff City
1-06.18%
2-02.73%
2-14.85%
3-00.80%
3-11.43%
3-21.27%
4-00.18%
4-10.32%
4-20.28%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.00%
1-110.98%
2-24.31%
3-30.75%
Watford
0-112.44%
0-211.04%
1-29.75%
0-36.54%
1-35.77%
2-32.55%
0-42.90%
1-42.56%
2-41.13%
3-40.33%
0-51.03%
1-50.91%
2-50.40%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Watford
Score01234
0
29.20%
24.01%
9.87%
2.70%
0.56%
1
11.94%
9.82%
4.03%
1.11%
0.23%
2
2.44%
2.01%
0.82%
0.23%
0.05%
3
0.33%
0.27%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Cardiff City
1-011.94%
2-02.44%
2-12.01%
3-00.33%
3-10.27%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.20%
1-19.82%
2-20.82%
Watford
0-124.01%
0-29.87%
1-24.03%
0-32.70%
1-31.11%
2-30.23%
0-40.56%
1-40.23%
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