Stoke City at Watford

Updated

Stoke City

24.4%26.5%49.1%
Stoke City WinDrawWatford Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.46
1Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 3-1 at Birmingham City+155
T 0-0 vs Millwall+105
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+375
T 1-1 vs Swansea City+110
L 1-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+100
Watford
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Bristol City-110
W 2-1 at Blackburn+165
W 5-1 at Preston North End+150
L 2-1 vs Ipswich Town+195
T 1-1 vs Southampton+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+275+267+250+230+259+230+267+260.2
Watford+100+109+110+108+109+108+110+127.0
Draw+235+246+225+225+252+225+252+254.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+285---+230+260+260+260.2
Watford+100----105+110+110+127.0
Draw+245---+220+240+240+254.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +235 to +225
Watford ML moved from +113 to +104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +240 to +230
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½-106o2½-105o2½-110o2½-105o2½-110o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2¼+102u2½-110u2½-115u2½-110u2½-113u2½-110u2½-110u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.01%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 412.59%
Exactly 62.43%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.69%
Exactly 320.93%
Exactly 56.06%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 038.83%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.38%
Exactly 35.48%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 023.22%
Exactly 133.90%
Exactly 224.75%
Exactly 312.05%
Exactly 44.40%
Exactly 51.28%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.82%
Exactly 220.37%
Exactly 42.11%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.57%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 064.53%
Exactly 128.27%
Exactly 26.19%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 050.86%
Exactly 134.39%
Exactly 211.62%
Exactly 32.62%
Exactly 40.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals8.46%
Wins by 3+ goals2.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals24.38%
Wins by 3+ goals9.50%
Wins by 4+ goals2.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal15.94%
Wins by 2 goals6.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.61%
Wins by 2 goals14.88%
Wins by 3 goals6.53%
Wins by 4 goals2.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.99%9.01%
1.569.29%30.71%
2.543.20%56.80%
3.522.26%77.74%
4.59.67%90.33%
5.53.61%96.39%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.17%38.83%
1.524.44%75.56%
2.57.07%92.93%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.78%23.22%
1.542.88%57.12%
2.518.13%81.87%
3.56.08%93.92%
4.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.18%32.82%
1.530.61%69.39%
2.510.25%89.75%
3.52.68%97.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Watford
Score012345
0
9.01%
13.16%
9.61%
4.68%
1.71%
0.50%
1
8.53%
12.45%
9.09%
4.43%
1.62%
0.47%
2
4.03%
5.89%
4.30%
2.09%
0.76%
0.22%
3
1.27%
1.86%
1.36%
0.66%
0.24%
0.07%
4
0.30%
0.44%
0.32%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-08.53%
2-04.03%
2-15.89%
3-01.27%
3-11.86%
3-21.36%
4-00.30%
4-10.44%
4-20.32%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.01%
1-112.45%
2-24.30%
3-30.66%
Watford
0-113.16%
0-29.61%
1-29.09%
0-34.68%
1-34.43%
2-32.09%
0-41.71%
1-41.62%
2-40.76%
3-40.24%
0-50.50%
1-50.47%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Watford
Score01234
0
32.82%
22.19%
7.50%
1.69%
0.29%
1
14.38%
9.72%
3.29%
0.74%
0.13%
2
3.15%
2.13%
0.72%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.46%
0.31%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-014.38%
2-03.15%
2-12.13%
3-00.46%
3-10.31%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.82%
1-19.72%
2-20.72%
Watford
0-122.19%
0-27.50%
1-23.29%
0-31.69%
1-30.74%
2-30.16%
0-40.29%
1-40.13%
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