Stoke City at Birmingham City

Updated

Stoke City

35.3%29.4%35.3%
Stoke City WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.09
3Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Millwall+105
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+375
T 1-1 vs Swansea City+110
L 1-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+100
L 1-2 at Plymouth Argyle+160
Birmingham City
Money Line
T 3-3 at Plymouth Argyle+235
L 3-2 vs Leicester City+610
W 1-0 at Cardiff City+315
L 0-2 at Coventry City+380
T 0-0 vs Rotherham United-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+169+159+160+161+156+161+161+182.3
Birmingham City+169+181+170+153+179+153+181+173.6
Draw+237+236+220+230+242+230+242+256.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+170---+150+155+155+182.3
Birmingham City+165---+145+185+185+173.6
Draw+230---+215+225+225+256.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +169 to +163
Birmingham City ML moved from +162 to +154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +160 to +150
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+111o2½-104o2½-105o2¾+126o2½-105o2¾+126o2½-104o2¾+134
Underu2½-131u2½-114u2½-115u2¾-146u2½-113u2¾-146u2¾-146u2¾-134
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+134
Under-----u2¾-134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.39%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 410.57%
Exactly 61.66%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.74%
Exactly 319.46%
Exactly 54.59%
Exactly 70.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 033.73%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.92%
Exactly 37.22%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 033.76%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.90%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.57%
Exactly 218.50%
Exactly 41.56%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.20%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 060.46%
Exactly 130.42%
Exactly 27.65%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 060.49%
Exactly 130.41%
Exactly 27.64%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals13.99%
Wins by 3+ goals4.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals13.96%
Wins by 3+ goals4.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal21.26%
Wins by 2 goals9.79%
Wins by 3 goals3.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal21.25%
Wins by 2 goals9.77%
Wins by 3 goals3.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.61%11.39%
1.563.87%36.13%
2.536.99%63.01%
3.517.53%82.47%
4.56.96%93.04%
5.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.27%33.73%
1.529.61%70.39%
2.59.69%90.31%
3.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.24%33.76%
1.529.58%70.42%
2.59.67%90.33%
3.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.43%36.57%
1.526.64%73.36%
2.58.14%91.86%
3.51.94%98.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
11.39%
12.37%
6.71%
2.43%
0.66%
0.14%
1
12.38%
13.44%
7.30%
2.64%
0.72%
0.16%
2
6.73%
7.30%
3.96%
1.43%
0.39%
0.08%
3
2.44%
2.65%
1.44%
0.52%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.66%
0.72%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-012.38%
2-06.73%
2-17.30%
3-02.44%
3-12.65%
3-21.44%
4-00.66%
4-10.72%
4-20.39%
4-30.14%
5-00.14%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-011.39%
1-113.44%
2-23.96%
3-30.52%
Birmingham City
0-112.37%
0-26.71%
1-27.30%
0-32.43%
1-32.64%
2-31.43%
0-40.66%
1-40.72%
2-40.39%
3-40.14%
0-50.14%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
36.57%
18.39%
4.62%
0.77%
1
18.40%
9.25%
2.33%
0.39%
2
4.63%
2.33%
0.59%
0.10%
3
0.78%
0.39%
0.10%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-018.40%
2-04.63%
2-12.33%
3-00.78%
3-10.39%
Draw
0-036.57%
1-19.25%
2-20.59%
Birmingham City
0-118.39%
0-24.62%
1-22.33%
0-30.77%
1-30.39%
Norwich City at West Brom
Leicester City at Ipswich Town