Cardiff City at Plymouth Argyle

Updated

Cardiff City

30.6%26.5%42.9%
Cardiff City WinDrawPlymouth Argyle Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.40
1Final Score 3

Plymouth Argyle

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Leeds United+425
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+255
L 2-0 vs Leicester City+465
T 2-2 vs Plymouth Argyle+105
W 2-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+255
Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
T 1-1 at Huddersfield+200
T 3-3 vs Watford+175
L 1-2 at Southampton+785
T 2-2 at Cardiff City+250
T 3-3 vs Birmingham City+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+265+203+190+175+175+175+203+197.3
Plymouth Argyle+105+137+140+144+144+144+144+163.8
Draw+230+246+225+225+225+225+246+251.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+230---+200+215+215+197.3
Plymouth Argyle+115---+105+120+120+163.8
Draw+255---+225+255+255+251.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +210 to +203
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +125 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 40.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +230 to +220
No Steam Moves On Plymouth Argyle ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-120o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2¾-108u2½+102u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½+102u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-108 to u2½-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.94%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 413.62%
Exactly 62.91%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.12%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 56.90%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 032.12%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.71%
Exactly 37.84%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 024.72%
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 224.14%
Exactly 311.24%
Exactly 43.93%
Exactly 51.10%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.95%
Exactly 221.28%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 059.11%
Exactly 131.08%
Exactly 28.17%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 052.36%
Exactly 133.88%
Exactly 210.96%
Exactly 32.36%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals12.10%
Wins by 3+ goals3.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals20.30%
Wins by 3+ goals7.54%
Wins by 4+ goals2.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Plymouth Argyle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal18.34%
Wins by 2 goals8.42%
Wins by 3 goals2.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal22.57%
Wins by 2 goals12.76%
Wins by 3 goals5.29%
Wins by 4 goals1.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.06%7.94%
1.571.94%28.06%
2.546.46%53.54%
3.524.95%75.05%
4.511.33%88.67%
5.54.43%95.57%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.88%32.12%
1.531.40%68.60%
2.510.69%89.31%
3.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.28%24.72%
1.540.73%59.27%
2.516.59%83.41%
3.55.34%94.66%
4.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.05%30.95%
1.532.75%67.25%
2.511.47%88.53%
3.53.15%96.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Plymouth Argyle
Score012345
0
7.94%
11.10%
7.75%
3.61%
1.26%
0.35%
1
9.02%
12.60%
8.81%
4.10%
1.43%
0.40%
2
5.12%
7.16%
5.00%
2.33%
0.81%
0.23%
3
1.94%
2.71%
1.89%
0.88%
0.31%
0.09%
4
0.55%
0.77%
0.54%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.17%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Cardiff City
1-09.02%
2-05.12%
2-17.16%
3-01.94%
3-12.71%
3-21.89%
4-00.55%
4-10.77%
4-20.54%
4-30.25%
5-00.13%
5-10.17%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-07.94%
1-112.60%
2-25.00%
3-30.88%
Plymouth Argyle
0-111.10%
0-27.75%
1-28.81%
0-33.61%
1-34.10%
2-32.33%
0-41.26%
1-41.43%
2-40.81%
3-40.31%
0-50.35%
1-50.40%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Plymouth Argyle
Score01234
0
30.95%
20.02%
6.48%
1.40%
0.23%
1
16.27%
10.53%
3.41%
0.73%
0.12%
2
4.28%
2.77%
0.90%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.75%
0.49%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
Cardiff City
1-016.27%
2-04.28%
2-12.77%
3-00.75%
3-10.49%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-030.95%
1-110.53%
2-20.90%
Plymouth Argyle
0-120.02%
0-26.48%
1-23.41%
0-31.40%
1-30.73%
2-30.19%
0-40.23%
1-40.12%
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