Southampton at Swansea City

Updated

Southampton

41.5%26.5%32.0%
Southampton WinDrawSwansea City Win
1.38Projected Goals 1.17
3Final Score 1

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Sheffield Wednesday-280
T 1-1 at Norwich City-105
W 1-2 vs Plymouth Argyle-325
W 0-5 vs Swansea City-200
W 1-0 at Queens Park Rangers-125
Swansea City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Birmingham City+210
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+270
T 2-2 at Coventry City+345
L 0-5 at Southampton+510
W 1-2 vs Preston North End+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-120-161-160-175-175-175-160-143.7
Swansea City+300+418+400+395+395+395+418+434.3
Draw+260+333+310+315+315+315+333+347.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-150----170-150-150-143.7
Swansea City+390---+325+385+385+434.3
Draw+305---+280+305+305+347.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from -154 to -161
Swansea City ML moved from +350 to +340

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Southampton ML
Swansea City ML moved from +350 to +325

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o3-109o3-118o3-112o3-111o3-112o3-109o3-102
Underu2¾-112u3-109u3-102u3-108u3-109u3-108u3-102u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-102
Under-----u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.79%
Exactly 225.38%
Exactly 413.77%
Exactly 62.99%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.89%
Exactly 321.59%
Exactly 57.03%
Exactly 71.09%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 025.23%
Exactly 134.75%
Exactly 223.92%
Exactly 310.98%
Exactly 43.78%
Exactly 51.04%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 030.89%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 221.31%
Exactly 38.35%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.68%
Exactly 221.41%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 38.43%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 052.86%
Exactly 133.70%
Exactly 210.74%
Exactly 32.28%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 058.05%
Exactly 131.57%
Exactly 28.59%
Exactly 31.56%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals19.36%
Wins by 3+ goals7.08%
Wins by 4+ goals2.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals13.10%
Wins by 3+ goals4.17%
Wins by 4+ goals1.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Swansea City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal22.10%
Wins by 2 goals12.27%
Wins by 3 goals5.01%
Wins by 4 goals1.60%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal18.85%
Wins by 2 goals8.93%
Wins by 3 goals3.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.21%7.79%
1.572.32%27.68%
2.546.94%53.06%
3.525.35%74.65%
4.511.58%88.42%
5.54.56%95.44%
6.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.77%25.23%
1.540.02%59.98%
2.516.10%83.90%
3.55.12%94.88%
4.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.11%30.89%
1.532.82%67.18%
2.511.51%88.49%
3.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.32%30.68%
1.533.07%66.93%
2.511.65%88.35%
3.53.22%96.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Swansea City
Score012345
0
7.79%
9.16%
5.38%
2.11%
0.62%
0.15%
1
10.73%
12.61%
7.41%
2.90%
0.85%
0.20%
2
7.39%
8.68%
5.10%
2.00%
0.59%
0.14%
3
3.39%
3.98%
2.34%
0.92%
0.27%
0.06%
4
1.17%
1.37%
0.81%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.32%
0.38%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Southampton
1-010.73%
2-07.39%
2-18.68%
3-03.39%
3-13.98%
3-22.34%
4-01.17%
4-11.37%
4-20.81%
4-30.32%
5-00.32%
5-10.38%
5-20.22%
Draw
0-07.79%
1-112.61%
2-25.10%
3-30.92%
Swansea City
0-19.16%
0-25.38%
1-27.41%
0-32.11%
1-32.90%
2-32.00%
0-40.62%
1-40.85%
2-40.59%
3-40.27%
0-50.15%
1-50.20%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Swansea City
Score01234
0
30.68%
16.69%
4.54%
0.82%
0.11%
1
19.56%
10.64%
2.89%
0.52%
0.07%
2
6.24%
3.39%
0.92%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.33%
0.72%
0.20%
0.04%
0.00%
4
0.21%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-019.56%
2-06.24%
2-13.39%
3-01.33%
3-10.72%
3-20.20%
4-00.21%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-030.68%
1-110.64%
2-20.92%
Swansea City
0-116.69%
0-24.54%
1-22.89%
0-30.82%
1-30.52%
2-30.17%
0-40.11%