Swansea City at Southampton

Updated

Swansea City

22.2%23.5%54.3%
Swansea City WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.76
0Final Score 5

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Preston North End+110
L 2-1 vs Middlesbrough+240
T 1-1 at Stoke City+250
W 2-1 at Rotherham United+120
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield-110
Southampton
Money Line
W 1-0 at Queens Park Rangers-125
W 0-4 vs Blackburn-155
T 1-1 at Coventry City+165
T 1-1 at Watford+125
W 0-2 vs Cardiff City-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+436+583+525+590+592+590+592+643.7
Southampton-159-216-230-263-227-263-216-205.1
Draw+317+377+380+380+393+380+393+417.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+550---+500+510+510+643.7
Southampton-230----265-200-200-205.1
Draw+400---+325+355+355+417.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +540 to +530
Southampton ML moved from -256 to -263

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Southampton: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +520 to +510
No Steam Moves On Southampton ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3-106o3-105o3-111o3-106o3-111o3-105o3-101
Underu3-135u3-110u3-115u3-109u3-112u3-109u3-109u3+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-101
Under-----u3+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.5%
 
No46.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.10%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 415.56%
Exactly 64.06%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.05%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.70%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 035.40%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.09%
Exactly 36.61%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 017.22%
Exactly 130.29%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 315.62%
Exactly 46.87%
Exactly 52.42%
Exactly 60.71%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.38%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 39.92%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 061.82%
Exactly 129.73%
Exactly 27.15%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 044.29%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 214.69%
Exactly 33.99%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals8.02%
Wins by 3+ goals2.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals30.22%
Wins by 3+ goals13.56%
Wins by 4+ goals5.00%
Wins by 5+ goals1.53%
Wins by 6+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Southampton
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal14.17%
Wins by 2 goals5.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal24.00%
Wins by 2 goals16.66%
Wins by 3 goals8.57%
Wins by 4 goals3.47%
Wins by 5 goals1.15%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.90%6.10%
1.576.85%23.15%
2.552.99%47.01%
3.530.75%69.25%
4.515.19%84.81%
5.56.49%93.51%
6.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.60%35.40%
1.527.84%72.16%
2.58.75%91.25%
3.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.78%17.22%
1.552.48%47.52%
2.525.84%74.16%
3.510.22%89.78%
4.53.35%96.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.62%27.38%
1.537.15%62.85%
2.514.18%85.82%
3.54.26%95.74%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Southampton
Score012345
0
6.10%
10.72%
9.43%
5.53%
2.43%
0.86%
1
6.33%
11.14%
9.79%
5.74%
2.53%
0.89%
2
3.29%
5.78%
5.09%
2.98%
1.31%
0.46%
3
1.14%
2.00%
1.76%
1.03%
0.45%
0.16%
4
0.30%
0.52%
0.46%
0.27%
0.12%
0.04%
Swansea City
1-06.33%
2-03.29%
2-15.78%
3-01.14%
3-12.00%
3-21.76%
4-00.30%
4-10.52%
4-20.46%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-06.10%
1-111.14%
2-25.09%
3-31.03%
4-40.12%
Southampton
0-110.72%
0-29.43%
1-29.79%
0-35.53%
1-35.74%
2-32.98%
0-42.43%
1-42.53%
2-41.31%
3-40.45%
0-50.86%
1-50.89%
2-50.46%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Southampton
Score01234
0
27.38%
22.30%
9.08%
2.46%
0.50%
1
13.17%
10.72%
4.37%
1.19%
0.24%
2
3.17%
2.58%
1.05%
0.28%
0.06%
3
0.51%
0.41%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Swansea City
1-013.17%
2-03.17%
2-12.58%
3-00.51%
3-10.41%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-027.38%
1-110.72%
2-21.05%
Southampton
0-122.30%
0-29.08%
1-24.37%
0-32.46%
1-31.19%
2-30.28%
0-40.50%
1-40.24%
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