Middlesbrough at Swansea City

Updated

Middlesbrough

34.6%28.1%37.3%
Middlesbrough WinDrawSwansea City Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.20
2Final Score 1

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Hull City-115
L 2-0 vs Ipswich Town+140
L 2-3 at Leeds United+370
W 0-4 vs Preston North End-155
L 2-3 at Bristol City+110
Swansea City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Stoke City+250
W 2-1 at Rotherham United+120
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield-110
L 1-3 at Leeds United+800
T 2-2 vs Hull City+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+115+121+120+117+121+117+121+136.4
Swansea City+215+224+205+199+220+199+224+225.7
Draw+265+258+260+240+261+240+261+270.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+115---+100+105+105+136.4
Swansea City+225---+200+240+240+225.7
Draw+260---+240+270+270+270.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +100 to -101
Swansea City ML moved from +224 to +217

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +115 to +105
Swansea City ML moved from +210 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-131o2¾-105o2¾+100o2¾-101o2¾+100o2½-131o2¾+109
Underu2¾-108u2½+111u2¾-115u2¾-120u2¾-117u2¾-120u2¾-115u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.66%
Exactly 226.38%
Exactly 412.01%
Exactly 62.19%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.58%
Exactly 320.55%
Exactly 55.61%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 031.96%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 220.79%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 42.25%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 030.22%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 221.64%
Exactly 38.63%
Exactly 42.58%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.89%
Exactly 219.84%
Exactly 41.94%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.16%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 058.97%
Exactly 131.14%
Exactly 28.22%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 057.46%
Exactly 131.84%
Exactly 28.82%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals14.01%
Wins by 3+ goals4.34%
Wins by 4+ goals1.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals15.85%
Wins by 3+ goals5.20%
Wins by 4+ goals1.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal20.45%
Wins by 2 goals9.67%
Wins by 3 goals3.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal21.46%
Wins by 2 goals10.65%
Wins by 3 goals3.84%
Wins by 4 goals1.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.34%9.66%
1.567.76%32.24%
2.541.38%58.62%
3.520.83%79.17%
4.58.82%91.18%
5.53.20%96.80%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.04%31.96%
1.531.58%68.42%
2.510.79%89.21%
3.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.78%30.22%
1.533.62%66.38%
2.511.98%88.02%
3.53.35%96.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.11%33.89%
1.529.44%70.56%
2.59.60%90.40%
3.52.44%97.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
Score012345
0
9.66%
11.56%
6.92%
2.76%
0.83%
0.20%
1
11.02%
13.18%
7.89%
3.15%
0.94%
0.23%
2
6.28%
7.52%
4.50%
1.79%
0.54%
0.13%
3
2.39%
2.86%
1.71%
0.68%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.68%
0.82%
0.49%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.19%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-011.02%
2-06.28%
2-17.52%
3-02.39%
3-12.86%
3-21.71%
4-00.68%
4-10.82%
4-20.49%
4-30.19%
5-00.16%
5-10.19%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-09.66%
1-113.18%
2-24.50%
3-30.68%
Swansea City
0-111.56%
0-26.92%
1-27.89%
0-32.76%
1-33.15%
2-31.79%
0-40.83%
1-40.94%
2-40.54%
3-40.20%
0-50.20%
1-50.23%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
Score01234
0
33.89%
18.78%
5.20%
0.96%
0.13%
1
17.89%
9.91%
2.75%
0.51%
0.07%
2
4.72%
2.62%
0.73%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.83%
0.46%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-017.89%
2-04.72%
2-12.62%
3-00.83%
3-10.46%
3-20.13%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-033.89%
1-19.91%
2-20.73%
Swansea City
0-118.78%
0-25.20%
1-22.75%
0-30.96%
1-30.51%
2-30.13%
0-40.13%
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