Swansea City at Birmingham City

Updated

Swansea City

35.0%28.4%36.6%
Swansea City WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.16
2Final Score 2

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+270
T 2-2 at Coventry City+345
L 0-5 at Southampton+510
W 1-2 vs Preston North End+110
L 2-1 vs Middlesbrough+240
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 0-3 at Leeds United+1150
T 0-0 vs Bristol City+185
L 3-1 vs Stoke City+185
T 3-3 at Plymouth Argyle+235
L 3-2 vs Leicester City+610

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+185+215+205+182+211+182+215+205.0
Birmingham City+140+129+120+131+127+131+131+149.9
Draw+230+250+255+240+258+240+258+267.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+200---+200+210+210+205.0
Birmingham City+135---+105+125+125+149.9
Draw+245---+225+250+250+267.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 30.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +188 to +182
Birmingham City ML moved from +133 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 30.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +230 to +215
Birmingham City ML moved from +135 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-119o2½-115o2½-118o2½-113o2½-118o2½-113o2½-107
Underu2½+102u2½+101u2½-105u2½-102u2½-105u2½-102u2½+101u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-107
Under-----u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.12%
Exactly 226.55%
Exactly 411.61%
Exactly 62.03%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.19%
Exactly 320.27%
Exactly 55.32%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 032.34%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.61%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 031.31%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 221.11%
Exactly 38.17%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.63%
Exactly 219.47%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.88%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 059.29%
Exactly 130.99%
Exactly 28.10%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 058.41%
Exactly 131.41%
Exactly 28.44%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals14.12%
Wins by 3+ goals4.35%
Wins by 4+ goals1.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals15.22%
Wins by 3+ goals4.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal20.75%
Wins by 2 goals9.77%
Wins by 3 goals3.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal21.34%
Wins by 2 goals10.34%
Wins by 3 goals3.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.88%10.12%
1.566.69%33.31%
2.540.14%59.86%
3.519.87%80.13%
4.58.26%91.74%
5.52.95%97.05%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.66%32.34%
1.531.16%68.84%
2.510.55%89.45%
3.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.69%31.31%
1.532.33%67.67%
2.511.22%88.78%
3.53.05%96.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.37%34.63%
1.528.64%71.36%
2.59.17%90.83%
3.52.29%97.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
10.12%
11.76%
6.83%
2.64%
0.77%
0.18%
1
11.43%
13.27%
7.71%
2.98%
0.87%
0.20%
2
6.45%
7.49%
4.35%
1.68%
0.49%
0.11%
3
2.43%
2.82%
1.64%
0.63%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.69%
0.80%
0.46%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-011.43%
2-06.45%
2-17.49%
3-02.43%
3-12.82%
3-21.64%
4-00.69%
4-10.80%
4-20.46%
4-30.18%
5-00.15%
5-10.18%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-010.12%
1-113.27%
2-24.35%
3-30.63%
Birmingham City
0-111.76%
0-26.83%
1-27.71%
0-32.64%
1-32.98%
2-31.68%
0-40.77%
1-40.87%
2-40.49%
3-40.18%
0-50.18%
1-50.20%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
34.63%
18.62%
5.01%
0.90%
0.12%
1
18.10%
9.73%
2.62%
0.47%
0.06%
2
4.73%
2.54%
0.68%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.82%
0.44%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-018.10%
2-04.73%
2-12.54%
3-00.82%
3-10.44%
3-20.12%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-034.63%
1-19.73%
2-20.68%
Birmingham City
0-118.62%
0-25.01%
1-22.62%
0-30.90%
1-30.47%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%
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