Birmingham City at Leeds United

Updated

Birmingham City

7.9%14.2%77.9%
WinDrawLeeds United Win
0.72Projected Goals 2.60
0Final Score 3

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Bristol City+185
L 3-1 vs Stoke City+185
T 3-3 at Plymouth Argyle+235
L 3-2 vs Leicester City+610
W 1-0 at Cardiff City+315
Leeds United
Money Line
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion+130
L 1-2 at Preston North End-180
W 0-4 vs Ipswich Town-125
T 1-1 vs Coventry City-185
L 0-1 at Sunderland+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+991+924+850+700+700+700+924+763.1
Leeds United-360-345-385-345-345-345-345-255.4
Draw+503+498+500+460+460+460+500+504.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+1175----+1150+1150+763.1
Leeds United-450-----450-450-255.4
Draw+550----+550+550+504.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Leeds United: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 40.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +710 to +700
Leeds United ML moved from -345 to -357

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 70.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +1175 to +1150
No Steam Moves On Leeds United ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-126o3-137o3¼-105o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼+107
Underu3+108u3+117u3¼-115u3¼-118u3¼-118u3¼-118u3¼-115u3¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+107
Under-----u3¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.62%
Exactly 219.94%
Exactly 418.29%
Exactly 66.71%
Exactly 81.32%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.02%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 512.14%
Exactly 73.18%
Exactly 90.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 049.00%
Exactly 134.95%
Exactly 212.47%
Exactly 32.96%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 07.39%
Exactly 119.25%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 414.18%
Exactly 57.39%
Exactly 63.21%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 80.39%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.52%
Exactly 225.39%
Exactly 45.00%
Exactly 60.39%
 
Exactly 133.06%
Exactly 313.00%
Exactly 51.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 071.87%
Exactly 123.74%
Exactly 23.92%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 029.94%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals1.98%
Wins by 3+ goals0.36%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals56.48%
Wins by 3+ goals34.58%
Wins by 4+ goals17.93%
Wins by 5+ goals7.96%
Wins by 6+ goals3.06%
Wins by 7+ goals1.02%
Wins by 8+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Leeds United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal5.84%
Wins by 2 goals1.62%
Wins by 3 goals0.32%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal21.37%
Wins by 2 goals21.90%
Wins by 3 goals16.65%
Wins by 4 goals9.97%
Wins by 5 goals4.90%
Wins by 6 goals2.04%
Wins by 7 goals0.73%
Wins by 8 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.38%3.62%
1.584.36%15.64%
2.564.42%35.58%
3.542.37%57.63%
4.524.08%75.92%
5.511.93%88.07%
6.55.22%94.78%
7.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.00%49.00%
1.516.05%83.95%
2.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.61%7.39%
1.573.36%26.64%
2.548.28%51.72%
3.526.51%73.49%
4.512.33%87.67%
5.54.94%95.06%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.48%21.52%
1.545.43%54.57%
2.520.03%79.97%
3.57.03%92.97%
4.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Leeds United
Score012345
0
3.62%
9.43%
12.29%
10.67%
6.95%
3.62%
1
2.58%
6.73%
8.77%
7.61%
4.96%
2.58%
2
0.92%
2.40%
3.13%
2.71%
1.77%
0.92%
3
0.22%
0.57%
0.74%
0.65%
0.42%
0.22%
Birmingham City
1-02.58%
2-00.92%
2-12.40%
3-00.22%
3-10.57%
3-20.74%
Draw
0-03.62%
1-16.73%
2-23.13%
3-30.65%
Leeds United
0-19.43%
0-212.29%
1-28.77%
0-310.67%
1-37.61%
2-32.71%
0-46.95%
1-44.96%
2-41.77%
3-40.42%
0-53.62%
1-52.58%
2-50.92%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Leeds United
Score012345
0
21.52%
25.95%
15.65%
6.29%
1.90%
0.46%
1
7.11%
8.57%
5.17%
2.08%
0.63%
0.15%
2
1.17%
1.42%
0.85%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.13%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Birmingham City
1-07.11%
2-01.17%
2-11.42%
3-00.13%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-021.52%
1-18.57%
2-20.85%
Leeds United
0-125.95%
0-215.65%
1-25.17%
0-36.29%
1-32.08%
2-30.34%
0-41.90%
1-40.63%
2-40.10%
0-50.46%
1-50.15%