Middlesbrough at Millwall

Updated

Middlesbrough

36.7%29.2%34.1%
Middlesbrough WinDrawMillwall Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.07
3Final Score 1

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Coventry City+100
W 2-1 at Huddersfield-130
L 0-1 at Rotherham United-180
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+145
W 2-1 at Swansea City+105
Millwall
Money Line
W 1-0 at Bristol City+270
W 0-1 vs Norwich City+130
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+115
T 0-0 at Stoke City+275
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+145+133+135+131+128+131+135+149.4
Millwall+185+215+195+191+217+191+217+214.2
Draw+220+240+240+230+248+230+248+256.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+145---+140+145+145+149.4
Millwall+190---+160+195+195+214.2
Draw+235---+210+230+230+256.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Millwall: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Millwall: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +135 to +128
Millwall ML moved from +189 to +176

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Millwall: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +155 to +145
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½-103o2½-102o2½-102o2½+101o2½-102o2½+101o2½+107
Underu2¼+102u2½-113u2½-118u2½-118u2½-119u2½-118u2½-113u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.17%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 410.74%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.49%
Exactly 319.60%
Exactly 54.71%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 032.60%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 220.48%
Exactly 37.65%
Exactly 42.14%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 034.27%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.25%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 41.60%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 059.51%
Exactly 130.88%
Exactly 28.01%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 060.91%
Exactly 130.20%
Exactly 27.49%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals14.86%
Wins by 3+ goals4.58%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals13.33%
Wins by 3+ goals3.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Millwall
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal21.70%
Wins by 2 goals10.28%
Wins by 3 goals3.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal20.73%
Wins by 2 goals9.38%
Wins by 3 goals3.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.83%11.17%
1.564.34%35.66%
2.537.51%62.49%
3.517.90%82.10%
4.57.16%92.84%
5.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.40%32.60%
1.530.86%69.14%
2.510.38%89.62%
3.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.73%34.27%
1.529.03%70.97%
2.59.38%90.62%
3.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.75%36.25%
1.526.97%73.03%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Millwall
Score012345
0
11.17%
11.96%
6.41%
2.29%
0.61%
0.13%
1
12.52%
13.41%
7.18%
2.56%
0.69%
0.15%
2
7.02%
7.52%
4.02%
1.44%
0.38%
0.08%
3
2.62%
2.81%
1.50%
0.54%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.73%
0.79%
0.42%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-012.52%
2-07.02%
2-17.52%
3-02.62%
3-12.81%
3-21.50%
4-00.73%
4-10.79%
4-20.42%
4-30.15%
5-00.16%
5-10.18%
Draw
0-011.17%
1-113.41%
2-24.02%
3-30.54%
Millwall
0-111.96%
0-26.41%
1-27.18%
0-32.29%
1-32.56%
2-31.44%
0-40.61%
1-40.69%
2-40.38%
3-40.14%
0-50.13%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Millwall
Score0123
0
36.25%
17.97%
4.46%
0.74%
1
18.81%
9.33%
2.31%
0.38%
2
4.88%
2.42%
0.60%
0.10%
3
0.84%
0.42%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-018.81%
2-04.88%
2-12.42%
3-00.84%
3-10.42%
3-20.10%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-036.25%
1-19.33%
2-20.60%
Millwall
0-117.97%
0-24.46%
1-22.31%
0-30.74%
1-30.38%