Watford at Plymouth Argyle

Updated

Watford

39.2%28.0%32.8%
Watford WinDrawPlymouth Argyle Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.11
3Final Score 3

Plymouth Argyle

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Stoke City+110
L 4-1 vs Bristol City-110
W 2-1 at Blackburn+165
W 5-1 at Preston North End+150
L 2-1 vs Ipswich Town+195
Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
L 1-2 at Southampton+785
T 2-2 at Cardiff City+250
T 3-3 vs Birmingham City+110
W 2-3 vs Rotherham United-150
T 0-0 at Queens Park Rangers+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+130+147+150+142+142+142+150+161.6
Plymouth Argyle+208+172+160+159+158+159+172+180.0
Draw+256+274+255+255+260+255+274+283.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+120---+115+135+135+161.6
Plymouth Argyle+210---+160+175+175+180.0
Draw+265---+260+280+280+283.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +149 to +142
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +175 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 10.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +185 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-131o3-108o3-112o3¼+117o3-108o3¼+117o3-108o3¼+125
Underu2½+111u3-108u3-108u3¼-137u3-112u3¼-137u3¼-137u3¼-125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+125
Under-----u3¼-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o2¾-124
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.60%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 412.06%
Exactly 62.21%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.50%
Exactly 320.59%
Exactly 55.65%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 029.01%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 222.21%
Exactly 39.16%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 033.09%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.24%
Exactly 37.46%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.79%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.19%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 056.39%
Exactly 132.31%
Exactly 29.25%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 059.93%
Exactly 130.69%
Exactly 27.86%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals17.11%
Wins by 3+ goals5.78%
Wins by 4+ goals1.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals12.95%
Wins by 3+ goals3.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Plymouth Argyle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal22.09%
Wins by 2 goals11.33%
Wins by 3 goals4.22%
Wins by 4 goals1.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal19.74%
Wins by 2 goals9.05%
Wins by 3 goals3.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.40%9.60%
1.567.90%32.10%
2.541.54%58.46%
3.520.95%79.05%
4.58.89%91.11%
5.53.24%96.76%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.99%29.01%
1.535.09%64.91%
2.512.87%87.13%
3.53.71%96.29%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.91%33.09%
1.530.32%69.68%
2.510.08%89.92%
3.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.21%33.79%
1.529.55%70.45%
2.59.66%90.34%
3.52.46%97.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Plymouth Argyle
Score012345
0
9.60%
10.62%
5.87%
2.16%
0.60%
0.13%
1
11.88%
13.14%
7.27%
2.68%
0.74%
0.16%
2
7.35%
8.13%
4.50%
1.66%
0.46%
0.10%
3
3.03%
3.35%
1.85%
0.68%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.94%
1.04%
0.57%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.23%
0.26%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-011.88%
2-07.35%
2-18.13%
3-03.03%
3-13.35%
3-21.85%
4-00.94%
4-11.04%
4-20.57%
4-30.21%
5-00.23%
5-10.26%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.60%
1-113.14%
2-24.50%
3-30.68%
Plymouth Argyle
0-110.62%
0-25.87%
1-27.27%
0-32.16%
1-32.68%
2-31.66%
0-40.60%
1-40.74%
2-40.46%
3-40.19%
0-50.13%
1-50.16%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Plymouth Argyle
Score0123
0
33.79%
17.30%
4.43%
0.76%
1
19.36%
9.91%
2.54%
0.43%
2
5.55%
2.84%
0.73%
0.12%
3
1.06%
0.54%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.15%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-019.36%
2-05.55%
2-12.84%
3-01.06%
3-10.54%
3-20.14%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-033.79%
1-19.91%
2-20.73%
Plymouth Argyle
0-117.30%
0-24.43%
1-22.54%
0-30.76%
1-30.43%
2-30.12%
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