Watford at Bristol City

Updated

Watford

32.7%28.3%38.9%
Watford WinDrawBristol City Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.21
1Final Score 1

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+145
T 3-3 at Plymouth Argyle+135
T 1-1 vs Stoke City+110
L 4-1 vs Bristol City-110
W 2-1 at Blackburn+165
Bristol City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Preston North End+190
L 1-0 vs Millwall+110
T 0-0 at Birmingham City+155
W 4-1 at Watford+320
W 2-3 vs Hull City+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+180+228+225+220+215+220+228+245.4
Bristol City+155+131+130+125+128+125+131+142.9
Draw+220+231+210+210+205+210+231+234.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+195---+175+195+195+245.4
Bristol City+145---+125+145+145+142.9
Draw+230---+210+230+230+234.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +192 to +184
Bristol City ML moved from +142 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Bristol City: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
No Steam Moves On Bristol City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+108o2¼-115o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-101
Underu2½-105u2½-128u2¼-105u2¼-109u2¼-109u2¼-109u2½-128u2¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-101
Under-----u2¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.06%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.66%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.11%
Exactly 320.31%
Exactly 55.35%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 033.78%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 41.95%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 029.78%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.53%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 060.51%
Exactly 130.40%
Exactly 27.64%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 057.08%
Exactly 132.01%
Exactly 28.97%
Exactly 31.68%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals12.78%
Wins by 3+ goals3.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals16.77%
Wins by 3+ goals5.57%
Wins by 4+ goals1.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Bristol City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal19.85%
Wins by 2 goals8.98%
Wins by 3 goals2.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal22.16%
Wins by 2 goals11.19%
Wins by 3 goals4.10%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.94%10.06%
1.566.83%33.17%
2.540.30%59.70%
3.519.99%80.01%
4.58.33%91.67%
5.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.22%33.78%
1.529.55%70.45%
2.59.66%90.34%
3.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.22%29.78%
1.534.14%65.86%
2.512.30%87.70%
3.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.47%34.53%
1.528.75%71.25%
2.59.23%90.77%
3.52.31%97.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Bristol City
Score012345
0
10.06%
12.19%
7.38%
2.98%
0.90%
0.22%
1
10.92%
13.23%
8.01%
3.23%
0.98%
0.24%
2
5.92%
7.18%
4.35%
1.75%
0.53%
0.13%
3
2.14%
2.60%
1.57%
0.63%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.58%
0.70%
0.43%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-010.92%
2-05.92%
2-17.18%
3-02.14%
3-12.60%
3-21.57%
4-00.58%
4-10.70%
4-20.43%
4-30.17%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-010.06%
1-113.23%
2-24.35%
3-30.63%
Bristol City
0-112.19%
0-27.38%
1-28.01%
0-32.98%
1-33.23%
2-31.75%
0-40.90%
1-40.98%
2-40.53%
3-40.19%
0-50.22%
1-50.24%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Bristol City
Score01234
0
34.53%
19.37%
5.43%
1.02%
0.14%
1
17.35%
9.73%
2.73%
0.51%
0.07%
2
4.36%
2.44%
0.69%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.73%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-017.35%
2-04.36%
2-12.44%
3-00.73%
3-10.41%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.53%
1-19.73%
2-20.69%
Bristol City
0-119.37%
0-25.43%
1-22.73%
0-31.02%
1-30.51%
2-30.13%
0-40.14%