Millwall at Southampton

Updated

Millwall

13.4%19.4%67.2%
WinDrawSouthampton Win
0.81Projected Goals 2.11
2Final Score 1

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+120
L 4-0 vs Ipswich Town+285
L 1-2 at Coventry City+370
L 0-1 at Hull City+300
T 1-1 vs Preston North End+110
Southampton
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Hull City-200
W 2-0 at West Bromwich Albion+140
L 1-3 at Bristol City-125
W 3-5 vs Huddersfield-400
W 2-0 at Rotherham United-315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+695+637+650+540+647+540+647+593.3
Southampton-252-229-275-250-239-250-229-193.6
Draw+405+381+400+370+392+370+400+409.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+700---+575+625+625+593.3
Southampton-260----300-240-240-193.6
Draw+400---+335+385+385+409.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +664 to +647
Southampton ML moved from -250 to -256

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +665 to +575
Southampton ML moved from -260 to -275

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+104o3+107o2¾-118o2¾-125o2¾-124o2¾-125o2¾-118o2¾-114
Underu3-122u3-125u2¾-102u2¾+105u2¾+104u2¾+105u3-125u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-114
Under-----u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.38%
Exactly 222.98%
Exactly 416.35%
Exactly 64.66%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.72%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.56%
Exactly 71.94%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 044.25%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 214.71%
Exactly 34.00%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 012.16%
Exactly 125.62%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 318.96%
Exactly 49.99%
Exactly 54.21%
Exactly 61.48%
Exactly 70.44%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.84%
Exactly 223.66%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 310.67%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 068.56%
Exactly 125.88%
Exactly 24.88%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 037.70%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.94%
Exactly 35.83%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals3.94%
Wins by 3+ goals0.88%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals42.87%
Wins by 3+ goals22.44%
Wins by 4+ goals9.76%
Wins by 5+ goals3.59%
Wins by 6+ goals1.12%
Wins by 7+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Southampton
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal9.40%
Wins by 2 goals3.06%
Wins by 3 goals0.73%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal24.30%
Wins by 2 goals20.43%
Wins by 3 goals12.67%
Wins by 4 goals6.17%
Wins by 5 goals2.47%
Wins by 6 goals0.83%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.62%5.38%
1.578.90%21.10%
2.555.92%44.08%
3.533.54%66.46%
4.517.19%82.81%
5.57.63%92.37%
6.52.97%97.03%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.75%44.25%
1.519.67%80.33%
2.54.97%95.03%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.84%12.16%
1.562.22%37.78%
2.535.23%64.77%
3.516.27%83.73%
4.56.28%93.72%
5.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.16%25.84%
1.539.19%60.81%
2.515.53%84.47%
3.54.86%95.14%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Southampton
Score012345
0
5.38%
11.34%
11.94%
8.39%
4.42%
1.86%
1
4.39%
9.24%
9.74%
6.84%
3.60%
1.52%
2
1.79%
3.77%
3.97%
2.79%
1.47%
0.62%
3
0.49%
1.02%
1.08%
0.76%
0.40%
0.17%
Millwall
1-04.39%
2-01.79%
2-13.77%
3-00.49%
3-11.02%
3-21.08%
Draw
0-05.38%
1-19.24%
2-23.97%
3-30.76%
Southampton
0-111.34%
0-211.94%
1-29.74%
0-38.39%
1-36.84%
2-32.79%
0-44.42%
1-43.60%
2-41.47%
3-40.40%
0-51.86%
1-51.52%
2-50.62%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Southampton
Score012345
0
25.84%
25.21%
12.30%
4.00%
0.98%
0.19%
1
9.76%
9.52%
4.64%
1.51%
0.37%
0.07%
2
1.84%
1.80%
0.88%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.23%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-09.76%
2-01.84%
2-11.80%
3-00.23%
3-10.23%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-025.84%
1-19.52%
2-20.88%
Southampton
0-125.21%
0-212.30%
1-24.64%
0-34.00%
1-31.51%
2-30.28%
0-40.98%
1-40.37%
0-50.19%
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