Southampton at Bristol City

Updated

Southampton

49.5%24.7%25.8%
Southampton WinDrawBristol City Win
1.62Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 3

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Huddersfield-400
W 2-0 at Rotherham United-315
W 3-1 at Swansea City-150
W 0-4 vs Sheffield Wednesday-280
T 1-1 at Norwich City-105
Bristol City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Middlesbrough+365
L 1-0 vs Leeds United+370
T 2-2 at Coventry City+395
T 1-1 vs Watford+145
L 0-2 at Preston North End+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-130-118-120-124-123-124-118-103.8
Bristol City+350+334+300+275+337+275+337+307.6
Draw+260+272+260+275+284+275+284+307.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-140----160-125-125-103.8
Bristol City+390---+345+340+345+307.6
Draw+280---+250+275+275+307.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Bristol City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Bristol City: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Southampton ML
Bristol City ML moved from +320 to +300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Bristol City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Bristol City: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Southampton ML
Bristol City ML moved from +375 to +340

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-126o2¾-102o2½-131o2¾+103o2½-131o2½-126o2½-120
Underu2½-115u2½+108u2¾-118u2½+111u2¾-121u2½+111u2¾-118u2½+120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-120
Under-----u2½+120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.5%
 
No46.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.59%
Exactly 224.37%
Exactly 415.03%
Exactly 63.71%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.92%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 58.17%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 019.77%
Exactly 132.05%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 314.03%
Exactly 45.69%
Exactly 51.84%
Exactly 60.50%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 033.31%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.13%
Exactly 37.38%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.38%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 047.22%
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 213.30%
Exactly 33.33%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 060.11%
Exactly 130.60%
Exactly 27.79%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals25.99%
Wins by 3+ goals10.91%
Wins by 4+ goals3.74%
Wins by 5+ goals1.07%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals9.79%
Wins by 3+ goals2.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.63%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Bristol City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal23.47%
Wins by 2 goals15.08%
Wins by 3 goals7.17%
Wins by 4 goals2.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.82%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal15.92%
Wins by 2 goals6.93%
Wins by 3 goals2.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.41%6.59%
1.575.50%24.50%
2.551.13%48.87%
3.529.04%70.96%
4.514.01%85.99%
5.55.84%94.16%
6.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.23%19.77%
1.548.18%51.82%
2.522.20%77.80%
3.58.17%91.83%
4.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.69%33.31%
1.530.08%69.92%
2.59.95%90.05%
3.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.62%28.38%
1.535.87%64.13%
2.513.37%86.63%
3.53.92%96.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Bristol City
Score01234
0
6.59%
7.24%
3.98%
1.46%
0.40%
1
10.67%
11.74%
6.45%
2.36%
0.65%
2
8.65%
9.51%
5.23%
1.92%
0.53%
3
4.67%
5.14%
2.82%
1.04%
0.28%
4
1.89%
2.08%
1.14%
0.42%
0.12%
5
0.61%
0.67%
0.37%
0.14%
0.04%
Southampton
1-010.67%
2-08.65%
2-19.51%
3-04.67%
3-15.14%
3-22.82%
4-01.89%
4-12.08%
4-21.14%
4-30.42%
5-00.61%
5-10.67%
5-20.37%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.59%
1-111.74%
2-25.23%
3-31.04%
4-40.12%
Bristol City
0-17.24%
0-23.98%
1-26.45%
0-31.46%
1-32.36%
2-31.92%
0-40.40%
1-40.65%
2-40.53%
3-40.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Bristol City
Score0123
0
28.38%
14.45%
3.68%
0.62%
1
21.30%
10.84%
2.76%
0.47%
2
7.99%
4.07%
1.04%
0.18%
3
2.00%
1.02%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.38%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Southampton
1-021.30%
2-07.99%
2-14.07%
3-02.00%
3-11.02%
3-20.26%
4-00.38%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-028.38%
1-110.84%
2-21.04%
Bristol City
0-114.45%
0-23.68%
1-22.76%
0-30.62%
1-30.47%
2-30.18%