Swansea City at Sunderland

Updated

Swansea City

38.7%28.0%33.3%
Swansea City WinDrawSunderland Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.11
2Final Score 1

Sunderland

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Ipswich Town+320
L 4-0 vs Leeds United+425
W 1-0 at Hull City+375
L 1-0 vs Plymouth Argyle+105
L 1-3 at Leicester City+750
Sunderland
Money Line
L 1-2 at Birmingham City+170
L 0-1 at Huddersfield+125
W 1-3 vs Plymouth Argyle-205
T 1-1 at Middlesbrough+255
W 1-3 vs Stoke City-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+375+262+235+197+268+197+268+226.8
Sunderland-134+111+115+115+108+115+115+136.6
Draw+290+245+225+235+246+235+246+268.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+360---+300+250+300+226.8
Sunderland-135----135+110+110+136.6
Draw+290---+230+245+245+268.6

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Swansea City: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 40.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +205 to +198
Sunderland ML moved from +124 to +115

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Swansea City: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 80.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +320 to +250
No Steam Moves On Sunderland ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-107o2½-105o2½-101o2½-104o2½-101o2½-101o2½+108
Underu2½+107u2½-109u2½-115u2½-119u2½-114u2½-119u2½-109u2½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+108
Under-----u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.64%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 412.03%
Exactly 62.19%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.55%
Exactly 320.57%
Exactly 55.63%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 029.38%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 222.04%
Exactly 39.00%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Sunderland
Exactly 032.80%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.38%
Exactly 37.57%
Exactly 42.11%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.85%
Exactly 219.86%
Exactly 41.94%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.17%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 056.72%
Exactly 132.16%
Exactly 29.12%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sunderland
Exactly 059.68%
Exactly 130.80%
Exactly 27.95%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals16.74%
Wins by 3+ goals5.60%
Wins by 4+ goals1.50%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%
Sunderland
Wins by 2+ goals13.23%
Wins by 3+ goals4.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Sunderland
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal21.92%
Wins by 2 goals11.13%
Wins by 3 goals4.11%
Wins by 4 goals1.18%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%
Sunderland
Wins by 1 goal19.95%
Wins by 2 goals9.22%
Wins by 3 goals3.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.36%9.64%
1.567.82%32.18%
2.541.44%58.56%
3.520.87%79.13%
4.58.84%91.16%
5.53.21%96.79%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.62%29.38%
1.534.63%65.37%
2.512.59%87.41%
3.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals Sunderland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.20%32.80%
1.530.63%69.37%
2.510.26%89.74%
3.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.15%33.85%
1.529.48%70.52%
2.59.62%90.38%
3.52.45%97.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Sunderland
Score012345
0
9.64%
10.74%
5.99%
2.22%
0.62%
0.14%
1
11.80%
13.16%
7.33%
2.72%
0.76%
0.17%
2
7.23%
8.06%
4.49%
1.67%
0.47%
0.10%
3
2.95%
3.29%
1.83%
0.68%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.90%
1.01%
0.56%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.25%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-011.80%
2-07.23%
2-18.06%
3-02.95%
3-13.29%
3-21.83%
4-00.90%
4-11.01%
4-20.56%
4-30.21%
5-00.22%
5-10.25%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.64%
1-113.16%
2-24.49%
3-30.68%
Sunderland
0-110.74%
0-25.99%
1-27.33%
0-32.22%
1-32.72%
2-31.67%
0-40.62%
1-40.76%
2-40.47%
3-40.19%
0-50.14%
1-50.17%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Sunderland
Score01234
0
33.85%
17.47%
4.51%
0.78%
0.10%
1
19.20%
9.91%
2.56%
0.44%
0.06%
2
5.44%
2.81%
0.72%
0.12%
0.02%
3
1.03%
0.53%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.15%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-019.20%
2-05.44%
2-12.81%
3-01.03%
3-10.53%
3-20.14%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-033.85%
1-19.91%
2-20.72%
Sunderland
0-117.47%
0-24.51%
1-22.56%
0-30.78%
1-30.44%
2-30.12%
0-40.10%