Stoke City at Sunderland

Updated

Stoke City

39.3%28.4%32.3%
Stoke City WinDrawSunderland Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 3

Sunderland

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Birmingham City-110
W 1-0 at Rotherham United-110
T 0-0 vs Ipswich Town+180
T 1-1 at Watford+260
W 3-1 at Birmingham City+155
Sunderland
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Hull City-120
L 1-2 at Ipswich Town+275
W 0-2 vs Preston North End-150
T 1-1 at Rotherham United-200
W 1-0 at Hull City+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+312+286+265+235+291+235+291+265.2
Sunderland-107+102+105+101-103+101+105+119.1
Draw+257+251+230+240+258+240+258+270.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+280---+255+290+290+265.2
Sunderland+100----115-105-105+119.1
Draw+245---+220+255+255+270.6

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Stoke City: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 50.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 40.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +280 to +265
Sunderland ML moved from +102 to -101

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Stoke City: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 50.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +265 to +255
Sunderland ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-101o2½-101o2½+102o2½+100o2½+102o2½+100o2½+102o2½+109
Underu2½-117u2½-117u2½-122u2½-120u2½-120u2½-120u2½-117u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.26%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 411.49%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.36%
Exactly 320.19%
Exactly 55.23%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 029.85%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Sunderland
Exactly 034.36%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 36.98%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.84%
Exactly 219.37%
Exactly 41.79%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 057.14%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 28.95%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sunderland
Exactly 060.98%
Exactly 130.16%
Exactly 27.46%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals16.91%
Wins by 3+ goals5.62%
Wins by 4+ goals1.49%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%
Sunderland
Wins by 2+ goals12.48%
Wins by 3+ goals3.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Sunderland
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal22.33%
Wins by 2 goals11.29%
Wins by 3 goals4.13%
Wins by 4 goals1.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%
Sunderland
Wins by 1 goal19.73%
Wins by 2 goals8.82%
Wins by 3 goals2.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.74%10.26%
1.566.39%33.61%
2.539.79%60.21%
3.519.61%80.39%
4.58.11%91.89%
5.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.15%29.85%
1.534.06%65.94%
2.512.25%87.75%
3.53.45%96.55%

Total Goals Sunderland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.64%34.36%
1.528.94%71.06%
2.59.33%90.67%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.16%34.84%
1.528.42%71.58%
2.59.06%90.94%
3.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Sunderland
Score012345
0
10.26%
10.96%
5.85%
2.08%
0.56%
0.12%
1
12.40%
13.25%
7.08%
2.52%
0.67%
0.14%
2
7.49%
8.01%
4.28%
1.52%
0.41%
0.09%
3
3.02%
3.23%
1.72%
0.61%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.91%
0.98%
0.52%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.24%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-012.40%
2-07.49%
2-18.01%
3-03.02%
3-13.23%
3-21.72%
4-00.91%
4-10.98%
4-20.52%
4-30.19%
5-00.22%
5-10.24%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.26%
1-113.25%
2-24.28%
3-30.61%
Sunderland
0-110.96%
0-25.85%
1-27.08%
0-32.08%
1-32.52%
2-31.52%
0-40.56%
1-40.67%
2-40.41%
3-40.16%
0-50.12%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Sunderland
Score0123
0
34.84%
17.23%
4.26%
0.70%
1
19.50%
9.65%
2.39%
0.39%
2
5.46%
2.70%
0.67%
0.11%
3
1.02%
0.50%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-019.50%
2-05.46%
2-12.70%
3-01.02%
3-10.50%
3-20.12%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-034.84%
1-19.65%
2-20.67%
Sunderland
0-117.23%
0-24.26%
1-22.39%
0-30.70%
1-30.39%
2-30.11%
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