Swansea City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Swansea City

18.8%22.6%58.5%
WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.83
0Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Millwall+100
T 2-2 at Norwich City+370
W 4-0 at Huddersfield+240
W 0-1 vs Rotherham United-295
W 0-3 vs Stoke City+165
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Watford-140
W 4-1 at Cardiff City-125
L 4-3 vs Leeds United+400
T 1-1 at Ipswich Town+315
T 2-2 at Hull City+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+340+408+360+350+404+350+408+386.7
Middlesbrough-119-146-135-156-149-156-135-129.0
Draw+270+302+265+300+308+300+308+332.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+320---+285+310+310+386.7
Middlesbrough-120----140-120-120-129.0
Draw+275---+250+280+280+332.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 20.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +360 to +353
Middlesbrough ML moved from -149 to -156

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Middlesbrough: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +295 to +280
No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o3+119o2¾-115o2¾-113o2¾-112o2¾-113o2¾-112o2¾-103
Underu2½+111u3-140u2¾-105u2¾-107u2¾-106u2¾-107u2¾-105u2¾+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-103
Under-----u2¾+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.28%
Exactly 224.06%
Exactly 415.36%
Exactly 63.92%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.38%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.50%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 039.31%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.14%
Exactly 35.33%
Exactly 41.24%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 015.98%
Exactly 129.30%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 316.43%
Exactly 47.53%
Exactly 52.76%
Exactly 60.84%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.76%
Exactly 222.79%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 39.74%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 064.90%
Exactly 128.06%
Exactly 26.06%
Exactly 30.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 042.78%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 215.42%
Exactly 34.36%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals6.26%
Wins by 3+ goals1.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals33.85%
Wins by 3+ goals15.81%
Wins by 4+ goals6.06%
Wins by 5+ goals1.93%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal12.54%
Wins by 2 goals4.67%
Wins by 3 goals1.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal24.63%
Wins by 2 goals18.04%
Wins by 3 goals9.74%
Wins by 4 goals4.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.43%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.72%6.28%
1.576.33%23.67%
2.552.28%47.72%
3.530.09%69.91%
4.514.73%85.27%
5.56.23%93.77%
6.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.69%39.31%
1.523.99%76.01%
2.56.85%93.15%
3.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.02%15.98%
1.554.72%45.28%
2.527.85%72.15%
3.511.42%88.58%
4.53.89%96.11%
5.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.24%27.76%
1.536.66%63.34%
2.513.86%86.14%
3.54.13%95.87%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
6.28%
11.52%
10.56%
6.46%
2.96%
1.09%
1
5.86%
10.76%
9.86%
6.03%
2.76%
1.01%
2
2.74%
5.02%
4.60%
2.81%
1.29%
0.47%
3
0.85%
1.56%
1.43%
0.88%
0.40%
0.15%
4
0.20%
0.36%
0.33%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
Swansea City
1-05.86%
2-02.74%
2-15.02%
3-00.85%
3-11.56%
3-21.43%
4-00.20%
4-10.36%
4-20.33%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-06.28%
1-110.76%
2-24.60%
3-30.88%
Middlesbrough
0-111.52%
0-210.56%
1-29.86%
0-36.46%
1-36.03%
2-32.81%
0-42.96%
1-42.76%
2-41.29%
3-40.40%
0-51.09%
1-51.01%
2-50.47%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
27.76%
23.57%
10.01%
2.83%
0.60%
0.10%
1
12.00%
10.19%
4.33%
1.22%
0.26%
0.04%
2
2.59%
2.20%
0.94%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.37%
0.32%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-012.00%
2-02.59%
2-12.20%
3-00.37%
3-10.32%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-027.76%
1-110.19%
2-20.94%
Middlesbrough
0-123.57%
0-210.01%
1-24.33%
0-32.83%
1-31.22%
2-30.26%
0-40.60%
1-40.26%
0-50.10%
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