Watford at Millwall

Updated

Watford

28.8%28.4%42.8%
Watford WinDrawMillwall Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.26
3Final Score 2

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 1-3 at Middlesbrough+340
W 0-1 vs Sunderland+135
T 0-0 vs Hull City+190
L 2-3 at Southampton+600
T 0-0 at Ipswich Town+525
Millwall
Money Line
W 1-0 at Swansea City+270
W 0-1 vs Plymouth Argyle+110
W 1-0 at Sunderland+265
W 1-3 vs Cardiff City-110
W 0-1 vs Leicester City+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+219+219+215+194+223+194+223+217.3
Millwall+136+141+135+140+140+140+141+159.1
Draw+230+221+215+210+217+210+221+234.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+225---+200+215+215+217.3
Millwall+130---+115+135+135+159.1
Draw+225---+205+225+225+234.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +229 to +222
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2-135o2¼+102o2¼+104o2¼+104o2¼+104o2-135o2¼+113
Underu2+119u2+115u2¼-122u2¼-124u2¼-124u2¼-124u2¼-122u2¼-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+113
Under-----u2¼-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.64%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 411.17%
Exactly 61.87%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.84%
Exactly 319.95%
Exactly 55.01%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 037.55%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.01%
Exactly 35.88%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 028.33%
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 222.53%
Exactly 39.47%
Exactly 42.99%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.44%
Exactly 219.07%
Exactly 41.71%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.59%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 063.54%
Exactly 128.82%
Exactly 26.53%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 055.77%
Exactly 132.57%
Exactly 29.51%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals10.39%
Wins by 3+ goals2.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals19.16%
Wins by 3+ goals6.63%
Wins by 4+ goals1.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal18.33%
Wins by 2 goals7.56%
Wins by 3 goals2.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal23.60%
Wins by 2 goals12.53%
Wins by 3 goals4.80%
Wins by 4 goals1.43%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.36%10.64%
1.565.52%34.48%
2.538.82%61.18%
3.518.87%81.13%
4.57.70%92.30%
5.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.45%37.55%
1.525.67%74.33%
2.57.66%92.34%
3.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.67%28.33%
1.535.94%64.06%
2.513.40%86.60%
3.53.93%96.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.56%35.44%
1.527.80%72.20%
2.58.73%91.27%
3.52.14%97.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Millwall
Score012345
0
10.64%
13.42%
8.46%
3.56%
1.12%
0.28%
1
10.42%
13.14%
8.29%
3.48%
1.10%
0.28%
2
5.10%
6.44%
4.06%
1.71%
0.54%
0.14%
3
1.67%
2.10%
1.33%
0.56%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.41%
0.51%
0.32%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Watford
1-010.42%
2-05.10%
2-16.44%
3-01.67%
3-12.10%
3-21.33%
4-00.41%
4-10.51%
4-20.32%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.64%
1-113.14%
2-24.06%
3-30.56%
Millwall
0-113.42%
0-28.46%
1-28.29%
0-33.56%
1-33.48%
2-31.71%
0-41.12%
1-41.10%
2-40.54%
3-40.18%
0-50.28%
1-50.28%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Millwall
Score01234
0
35.44%
20.69%
6.04%
1.18%
0.17%
1
16.07%
9.38%
2.74%
0.53%
0.08%
2
3.64%
2.13%
0.62%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.55%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-016.07%
2-03.64%
2-12.13%
3-00.55%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-035.44%
1-19.38%
2-20.62%
Millwall
0-120.69%
0-26.04%
1-22.74%
0-31.18%
1-30.53%
2-30.12%
0-40.17%
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