Cardiff City at Burnley

Updated

Cardiff City

12.7%19.3%68.0%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.10
0Final Score 5

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Sunderland+190
L 2-5 at Rotherham United+120
L 4-1 vs Middlesbrough+315
W 1-2 vs Southampton+850
L 1-3 at Millwall+355
Burnley
Money Line
W 4-1 at Luton Town+155
W 0-3 vs Cardiff City-360
W 2-1 at Bristol City+105
W 1-0 at Blackburn+120
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers-280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+424+451+440+375+446+390+451+430.8
Burnley-152-163-175-161-165-172-163-140.2
Draw+306+318+300+290+323+305+323+338.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+515---+520+450+520+430.8
Burnley-200----260-165-165-140.2
Draw+350---+310+305+310+338.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +440 to +420
Burnley ML moved from -161 to -172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 70.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +600 to +450
Burnley ML moved from -210 to -230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-133o2½-130o2¾-105o2¾+100o2¾+101o2¾+100o2½-130o2¾+109
Underu2½+113u2½+111u2¾-115u2¾-120u2¾-119u2¾-120u2¾-115u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.65%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 416.05%
Exactly 64.42%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.24%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.22%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 046.01%
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 213.86%
Exactly 33.59%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 012.28%
Exactly 125.75%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.88%
Exactly 49.90%
Exactly 54.15%
Exactly 61.45%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.44%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 43.45%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 310.38%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 069.81%
Exactly 125.09%
Exactly 24.51%
Exactly 30.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 037.87%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals3.61%
Wins by 3+ goals0.78%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals43.43%
Wins by 3+ goals22.73%
Wins by 4+ goals9.88%
Wins by 5+ goals3.62%
Wins by 6+ goals1.13%
Wins by 7+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Burnley
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal9.07%
Wins by 2 goals2.83%
Wins by 3 goals0.65%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.50%
Wins by 2 goals20.70%
Wins by 3 goals12.85%
Wins by 4 goals6.25%
Wins by 5 goals2.49%
Wins by 6 goals0.84%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.35%5.65%
1.578.11%21.89%
2.554.79%45.21%
3.532.44%67.56%
4.516.39%83.61%
5.57.17%92.83%
6.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.99%46.01%
1.518.27%81.73%
2.54.41%95.59%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.72%12.28%
1.561.97%38.03%
2.534.96%65.04%
3.516.08%83.92%
4.56.18%93.82%
5.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.56%26.44%
1.538.39%61.61%
2.514.99%85.01%
3.54.62%95.38%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Burnley
Score012345
0
5.65%
11.85%
12.43%
8.69%
4.55%
1.91%
1
4.39%
9.20%
9.65%
6.74%
3.54%
1.48%
2
1.70%
3.57%
3.74%
2.62%
1.37%
0.58%
3
0.44%
0.92%
0.97%
0.68%
0.36%
0.15%
Cardiff City
1-04.39%
2-01.70%
2-13.57%
3-00.44%
3-10.92%
3-20.97%
Draw
0-05.65%
1-19.20%
2-23.74%
3-30.68%
Burnley
0-111.85%
0-212.43%
1-29.65%
0-38.69%
1-36.74%
2-32.62%
0-44.55%
1-43.54%
2-41.37%
3-40.36%
0-51.91%
1-51.48%
2-50.58%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Burnley
Score012345
0
26.44%
25.67%
12.46%
4.03%
0.98%
0.19%
1
9.50%
9.23%
4.48%
1.45%
0.35%
0.07%
2
1.71%
1.66%
0.80%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.20%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-09.50%
2-01.71%
2-11.66%
3-00.20%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-026.44%
1-19.23%
2-20.80%
Burnley
0-125.67%
0-212.46%
1-24.48%
0-34.03%
1-31.45%
2-30.26%
0-40.98%
1-40.35%
0-50.19%