Cardiff City at Burnley

Updated

Cardiff City

12.7%19.3%68.0%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.10
0Final Score 5

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Sunderland+190
L 2-5 at Rotherham United+120
L 4-1 vs Middlesbrough+315
W 1-2 vs Southampton+850
L 1-3 at Millwall+355
Burnley
Money Line
W 4-1 at Luton Town+155
W 0-3 vs Cardiff City-360
W 2-1 at Bristol City+105
W 1-0 at Blackburn+120
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers-280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+424+451+440+375+446+390+451+430.8
Burnley-152-163-175-161-165-172-163-140.2
Draw+306+318+300+290+323+305+323+338.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+515---+520+450+520+430.8
Burnley-200----260-165-165-140.2
Draw+350---+310+305+310+338.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +440 to +420
Burnley ML moved from -161 to -172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 70.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +600 to +450
Burnley ML moved from -210 to -230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-133o2½-130o2¾-105o2¾+100o2¾+101o2¾+100o2½-130o2¾+109
Underu2½+113u2½+111u2¾-115u2¾-120u2¾-119u2¾-120u2¾-115u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.65%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 416.05%
Exactly 64.42%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.24%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.22%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 046.01%
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 213.86%
Exactly 33.59%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 012.28%
Exactly 125.75%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.88%
Exactly 49.90%
Exactly 54.15%
Exactly 61.45%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.44%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 43.45%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 310.38%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 069.81%
Exactly 125.09%
Exactly 24.51%
Exactly 30.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 037.87%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals3.61%
Wins by 3+ goals0.78%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals43.43%
Wins by 3+ goals22.73%
Wins by 4+ goals9.88%
Wins by 5+ goals3.62%
Wins by 6+ goals1.13%
Wins by 7+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Burnley
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal9.07%
Wins by 2 goals2.83%
Wins by 3 goals0.65%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.50%
Wins by 2 goals20.70%
Wins by 3 goals12.85%
Wins by 4 goals6.25%
Wins by 5 goals2.49%
Wins by 6 goals0.84%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.35%5.65%
1.578.11%21.89%
2.554.79%45.21%
3.532.44%67.56%
4.516.39%83.61%
5.57.17%92.83%
6.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.99%46.01%
1.518.27%81.73%
2.54.41%95.59%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.72%12.28%
1.561.97%38.03%
2.534.96%65.04%
3.516.08%83.92%
4.56.18%93.82%
5.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.56%26.44%
1.538.39%61.61%
2.514.99%85.01%
3.54.62%95.38%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Burnley
Score012345
0
5.65%
11.85%
12.43%
8.69%
4.55%
1.91%
1
4.39%
9.20%
9.65%
6.74%
3.54%
1.48%
2
1.70%
3.57%
3.74%
2.62%
1.37%
0.58%
3
0.44%
0.92%
0.97%
0.68%
0.36%
0.15%
Cardiff City
1-04.39%
2-01.70%
2-13.57%
3-00.44%
3-10.92%
3-20.97%
Draw
0-05.65%
1-19.20%
2-23.74%
3-30.68%
Burnley
0-111.85%
0-212.43%
1-29.65%
0-38.69%
1-36.74%
2-32.62%
0-44.55%
1-43.54%
2-41.37%
3-40.36%
0-51.91%
1-51.48%
2-50.58%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Burnley
Score012345
0
26.44%
25.67%
12.46%
4.03%
0.98%
0.19%
1
9.50%
9.23%
4.48%
1.45%
0.35%
0.07%
2
1.71%
1.66%
0.80%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.20%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-09.50%
2-01.71%
2-11.66%
3-00.20%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-026.44%
1-19.23%
2-20.80%
Burnley
0-125.67%
0-212.46%
1-24.48%
0-34.03%
1-31.45%
2-30.26%
0-40.98%
1-40.35%
0-50.19%
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