Cardiff City at Burnley

Updated

Cardiff City

8.9%16.1%75.0%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.69Projected Goals 2.37
0Final Score 3

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Huddersfield+140
W 2-1 at Rotherham United+165
T 1-1 vs Stoke City+140
W 3-1 at Watford+290
L 1-4 at Sheffield United+565
Burnley
Money Line
W 2-1 at Bristol City+105
W 1-0 at Blackburn+120
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers-280
T 2-2 at Rotherham United-150
T 0-0 at Reading-195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+762+925+800+760+981+760+981+825.3
Burnley-239-347-375-370-363-370-347-272.7
Draw+356+501+500+480+523+480+523+524.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+815---+775+900+900+825.3
Burnley-280----400-360-360-272.7
Draw+390---+375+500+500+524.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 10.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +770 to +760
Burnley ML moved from -357 to -385

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +950 to +900
Burnley ML moved from -350 to -375

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+117o3-134o3¼+105o3¼-101o3-120o3¼-101o3-120o3¼+108
Underu3-139u3+114u3¼-125u3¼-119u3+105u3¼-119u3+114u3¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+108
Under-----u3¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.70%
Exactly 221.97%
Exactly 417.11%
Exactly 65.33%
Exactly 80.89%
 
Exactly 114.38%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.46%
Exactly 72.33%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 050.37%
Exactly 134.54%
Exactly 211.84%
Exactly 32.71%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 09.33%
Exactly 122.14%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 320.75%
Exactly 412.30%
Exactly 55.83%
Exactly 62.31%
Exactly 70.78%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.28%
Exactly 224.32%
Exactly 44.06%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.37%
Exactly 311.48%
Exactly 51.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 072.80%
Exactly 123.11%
Exactly 23.67%
Exactly 30.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 033.35%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.11%
Exactly 37.36%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals2.23%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals51.86%
Wins by 3+ goals29.85%
Wins by 4+ goals14.39%
Wins by 5+ goals5.88%
Wins by 6+ goals2.05%
Wins by 7+ goals0.59%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Burnley
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal6.65%
Wins by 2 goals1.83%
Wins by 3 goals0.36%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal23.03%
Wins by 2 goals22.01%
Wins by 3 goals15.46%
Wins by 4 goals8.51%
Wins by 5 goals3.83%
Wins by 6 goals1.46%
Wins by 7 goals0.47%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.30%4.70%
1.580.92%19.08%
2.558.95%41.05%
3.536.56%63.44%
4.519.44%80.56%
5.58.98%91.02%
6.53.65%96.35%
7.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.63%50.37%
1.515.08%84.92%
2.53.24%96.76%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.67%9.33%
1.568.53%31.47%
2.542.28%57.72%
3.521.53%78.47%
4.59.23%90.77%
5.53.40%96.60%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.72%24.28%
1.541.35%58.65%
2.517.02%82.98%
3.55.55%94.45%
4.51.49%98.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Burnley
Score012345
0
4.70%
11.15%
13.22%
10.45%
6.20%
2.94%
1
3.22%
7.65%
9.07%
7.17%
4.25%
2.02%
2
1.11%
2.62%
3.11%
2.46%
1.46%
0.69%
3
0.25%
0.60%
0.71%
0.56%
0.33%
0.16%
Cardiff City
1-03.22%
2-01.11%
2-12.62%
3-00.25%
3-10.60%
3-20.71%
Draw
0-04.70%
1-17.65%
2-23.11%
3-30.56%
Burnley
0-111.15%
0-213.22%
1-29.07%
0-310.45%
1-37.17%
2-32.46%
0-46.20%
1-44.25%
2-41.46%
3-40.33%
0-52.94%
1-52.02%
2-50.69%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Burnley
Score012345
0
24.28%
26.66%
14.64%
5.36%
1.47%
0.32%
1
7.71%
8.46%
4.65%
1.70%
0.47%
0.10%
2
1.22%
1.34%
0.74%
0.27%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.13%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-07.71%
2-01.22%
2-11.34%
3-00.13%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-024.28%
1-18.46%
2-20.74%
Burnley
0-126.66%
0-214.64%
1-24.65%
0-35.36%
1-31.70%
2-30.27%
0-41.47%
1-40.47%
0-50.32%
1-50.10%