Derby County at Sunderland

Updated

Derby County

23.8%26.1%50.1%
Derby County WinDrawSunderland Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.50

Sunderland

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Norwich City+175
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+430
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City+130
W 0-3 vs Bristol City+190
L 1-2 at Watford+300
Sunderland
Money Line
L 1-2 at Watford+125
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+145
L 2-3 at Plymouth Argyle-145
W 3-1 at Portsmouth+105
W 0-1 vs Burnley+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+400+408+390+355+406+355+408+392.4
Sunderland-150-139-150-143-150-143-139-119.2
Draw+265+281+270+265+280+265+281+295.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+420---+390+420+420+392.4
Sunderland-145----175-145-145-119.2
Draw+275---+250+275+275+295.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 30.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +400 to +390
Sunderland ML moved from -140 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 30.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On Sunderland ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+102o2½+101o2½+102o2½+102o2½+111
Underu2½-120u2½-117u2½-120u2½-122u2½-123u2½-122u2½-117u2½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+111
Under-----u2½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.73%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 412.86%
Exactly 62.55%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.29%
Exactly 321.10%
Exactly 56.27%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 038.96%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.31%
Exactly 35.44%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Sunderland
Exactly 022.40%
Exactly 133.51%
Exactly 225.07%
Exactly 312.50%
Exactly 44.67%
Exactly 51.40%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.34%
Exactly 220.61%
Exactly 42.19%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 064.64%
Exactly 128.21%
Exactly 26.15%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sunderland
Exactly 050.03%
Exactly 134.65%
Exactly 212.00%
Exactly 32.77%
Exactly 40.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals8.18%
Wins by 3+ goals2.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Sunderland
Wins by 2+ goals25.30%
Wins by 3+ goals10.05%
Wins by 4+ goals3.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.81%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Sunderland
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal15.56%
Wins by 2 goals6.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Sunderland
Wins by 1 goal24.70%
Wins by 2 goals15.25%
Wins by 3 goals6.85%
Wins by 4 goals2.40%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.27%8.73%
1.569.98%30.02%
2.544.03%55.97%
3.522.93%77.07%
4.510.08%89.92%
5.53.80%96.20%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.04%38.96%
1.524.31%75.69%
2.57.00%93.00%
3.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Sunderland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.60%22.40%
1.544.08%55.92%
2.519.01%80.99%
3.56.51%93.49%
4.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.66%32.34%
1.531.16%68.84%
2.510.55%89.45%
3.52.79%97.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Sunderland
Score012345
0
8.73%
13.06%
9.77%
4.87%
1.82%
0.54%
1
8.23%
12.31%
9.21%
4.59%
1.72%
0.51%
2
3.88%
5.80%
4.34%
2.16%
0.81%
0.24%
3
1.22%
1.82%
1.36%
0.68%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.29%
0.43%
0.32%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Derby County
1-08.23%
2-03.88%
2-15.80%
3-01.22%
3-11.82%
3-21.36%
4-00.29%
4-10.43%
4-20.32%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-08.73%
1-112.31%
2-24.34%
3-30.68%
Sunderland
0-113.06%
0-29.77%
1-29.21%
0-34.87%
1-34.59%
2-32.16%
0-41.82%
1-41.72%
2-40.81%
3-40.25%
0-50.54%
1-50.51%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Sunderland
Score01234
0
32.34%
22.40%
7.76%
1.79%
0.31%
1
14.11%
9.77%
3.38%
0.78%
0.14%
2
3.08%
2.13%
0.74%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.45%
0.31%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-014.11%
2-03.08%
2-12.13%
3-00.45%
3-10.31%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.34%
1-19.77%
2-20.74%
Sunderland
0-122.40%
0-27.76%
1-23.38%
0-31.79%
1-30.78%
2-30.17%
0-40.31%
1-40.14%
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