Bristol City at Derby County

Updated

Bristol City

28.0%26.9%45.1%
Bristol City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.40
0Final Score 3

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Bristol City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+145
W 3-4 vs Millwall+105
T 1-1 at Hull City+190
L 0-4 at Stoke City+250
W 0-2 vs Rotherham United-250
Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Watford+300
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+250
L 2-4 at Blackburn+225
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City+120
W 2-0 at Blackpool+375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bristol City+180+161+150+148+152+148+161+167.5
Derby County+145+187+180+172+188+172+188+193.4
Draw+220+225+210+225+227+225+227+250.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bristol City+150---+130+150+150+167.5
Derby County+190---+175+190+190+193.4
Draw+225---+205+225+225+250.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Bristol City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bristol City ML moved from +170 to +155
Derby County ML moved from +180 to +172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Bristol City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bristol City ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+113o2¼-112o2¼-107o2¼-109o2¼-107o2¼-107o2¼+103
Underu2½-110u2½-132u2¼-108u2¼-113u2¼-109u2¼-113u2½-132u2¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+103
Under-----u2¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.75%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 412.84%
Exactly 62.54%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.32%
Exactly 321.08%
Exactly 56.26%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 035.35%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.11%
Exactly 36.62%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 024.75%
Exactly 134.56%
Exactly 224.13%
Exactly 311.23%
Exactly 43.92%
Exactly 51.09%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.37%
Exactly 220.59%
Exactly 42.18%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.74%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 061.79%
Exactly 129.75%
Exactly 27.16%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 052.39%
Exactly 133.87%
Exactly 210.95%
Exactly 32.36%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals10.44%
Wins by 3+ goals2.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals21.52%
Wins by 3+ goals8.04%
Wins by 4+ goals2.41%
Wins by 5+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Bristol City
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal17.51%
Wins by 2 goals7.48%
Wins by 3 goals2.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal23.51%
Wins by 2 goals13.48%
Wins by 3 goals5.64%
Wins by 4 goals1.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.25%8.75%
1.569.93%30.07%
2.543.97%56.03%
3.522.88%77.12%
4.510.04%89.96%
5.53.79%96.21%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.65%35.35%
1.527.89%72.11%
2.58.78%91.22%
3.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.25%24.75%
1.540.68%59.32%
2.516.56%83.44%
3.55.33%94.67%
4.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.63%32.37%
1.531.12%68.88%
2.510.53%89.47%
3.52.78%97.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bristol City
Derby County
Score012345
0
8.75%
12.22%
8.53%
3.97%
1.39%
0.39%
1
9.10%
12.70%
8.87%
4.13%
1.44%
0.40%
2
4.73%
6.61%
4.61%
2.15%
0.75%
0.21%
3
1.64%
2.29%
1.60%
0.74%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.43%
0.60%
0.42%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Bristol City
1-09.10%
2-04.73%
2-16.61%
3-01.64%
3-12.29%
3-21.60%
4-00.43%
4-10.60%
4-20.42%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.75%
1-112.70%
2-24.61%
3-30.74%
Derby County
0-112.22%
0-28.53%
1-28.87%
0-33.97%
1-34.13%
2-32.15%
0-41.39%
1-41.44%
2-40.75%
3-40.26%
0-50.39%
1-50.40%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Bristol City
Derby County
Score01234
0
32.37%
20.93%
6.76%
1.46%
0.24%
1
15.59%
10.07%
3.26%
0.70%
0.11%
2
3.75%
2.43%
0.78%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.60%
0.39%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Bristol City
1-015.59%
2-03.75%
2-12.43%
3-00.60%
3-10.39%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.37%
1-110.07%
2-20.78%
Derby County
0-120.93%
0-26.76%
1-23.26%
0-31.46%
1-30.70%
2-30.17%
0-40.24%
1-40.11%
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