Bristol City at Derby County

Updated

Bristol City

28.0%26.9%45.1%
Bristol City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.40
0Final Score 3

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Bristol City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+145
W 3-4 vs Millwall+105
T 1-1 at Hull City+190
L 0-4 at Stoke City+250
W 0-2 vs Rotherham United-250
Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Watford+300
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+250
L 2-4 at Blackburn+225
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City+120
W 2-0 at Blackpool+375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bristol City+180+161+150+148+152+148+161+167.5
Derby County+145+187+180+172+188+172+188+193.4
Draw+220+225+210+225+227+225+227+250.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bristol City+150---+130+150+150+167.5
Derby County+190---+175+190+190+193.4
Draw+225---+205+225+225+250.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bristol City ML moved from +170 to +155
Derby County ML moved from +180 to +172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bristol City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bristol City ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+113o2¼-112o2¼-107o2¼-109o2¼-107o2¼-107o2¼+103
Underu2½-110u2½-132u2¼-108u2¼-113u2¼-109u2¼-113u2½-132u2¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+103
Under-----u2¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.75%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 412.84%
Exactly 62.54%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.32%
Exactly 321.08%
Exactly 56.26%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 035.35%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.11%
Exactly 36.62%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 024.75%
Exactly 134.56%
Exactly 224.13%
Exactly 311.23%
Exactly 43.92%
Exactly 51.09%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.37%
Exactly 220.59%
Exactly 42.18%
 
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 37.74%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 061.79%
Exactly 129.75%
Exactly 27.16%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 052.39%
Exactly 133.87%
Exactly 210.95%
Exactly 32.36%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals10.44%
Wins by 3+ goals2.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals21.52%
Wins by 3+ goals8.04%
Wins by 4+ goals2.41%
Wins by 5+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Bristol City
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal17.51%
Wins by 2 goals7.48%
Wins by 3 goals2.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal23.51%
Wins by 2 goals13.48%
Wins by 3 goals5.64%
Wins by 4 goals1.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.25%8.75%
1.569.93%30.07%
2.543.97%56.03%
3.522.88%77.12%
4.510.04%89.96%
5.53.79%96.21%
6.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.65%35.35%
1.527.89%72.11%
2.58.78%91.22%
3.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.25%24.75%
1.540.68%59.32%
2.516.56%83.44%
3.55.33%94.67%
4.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.63%32.37%
1.531.12%68.88%
2.510.53%89.47%
3.52.78%97.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bristol City
Derby County
Score012345
0
8.75%
12.22%
8.53%
3.97%
1.39%
0.39%
1
9.10%
12.70%
8.87%
4.13%
1.44%
0.40%
2
4.73%
6.61%
4.61%
2.15%
0.75%
0.21%
3
1.64%
2.29%
1.60%
0.74%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.43%
0.60%
0.42%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Bristol City
1-09.10%
2-04.73%
2-16.61%
3-01.64%
3-12.29%
3-21.60%
4-00.43%
4-10.60%
4-20.42%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.75%
1-112.70%
2-24.61%
3-30.74%
Derby County
0-112.22%
0-28.53%
1-28.87%
0-33.97%
1-34.13%
2-32.15%
0-41.39%
1-41.44%
2-40.75%
3-40.26%
0-50.39%
1-50.40%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Bristol City
Derby County
Score01234
0
32.37%
20.93%
6.76%
1.46%
0.24%
1
15.59%
10.07%
3.26%
0.70%
0.11%
2
3.75%
2.43%
0.78%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.60%
0.39%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Bristol City
1-015.59%
2-03.75%
2-12.43%
3-00.60%
3-10.39%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.37%
1-110.07%
2-20.78%
Derby County
0-120.93%
0-26.76%
1-23.26%
0-31.46%
1-30.70%
2-30.17%
0-40.24%
1-40.11%