Cardiff City at Derby County

Updated

Cardiff City

32.7%28.0%39.3%
Cardiff City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.24
1Final Score 0

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Birmingham City+110
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+560
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+550
L 1-0 vs Luton Town+190
L 1-2 at Hull City+200
Derby County
Money Line
W 2-0 at Blackpool+375
L 3-1 vs Bristol City+170
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+225
W 1-2 vs Fulham+465
L 1-2 at Swansea City+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+205+215+215+221+213+215+221+239.0
Derby County+125+125+115+129+119+115+129+134.1
Draw+235+220+230+249+245+230+249+260.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+200---+195+215+215+239.0
Derby County+130---+105+120+120+134.1
Draw+250---+235+255+255+260.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +225 to +215
Derby County ML moved from +122 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML
Derby County ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-108o2½-110o2½-103-o2½-110o2½-103o2½+100
Underu2¾-115u2½-112u2½-110u2½-112-u2½-110u2½-110u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-109 to o2¾+104
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.62%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 412.04%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.52%
Exactly 320.58%
Exactly 55.64%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 033.19%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.19%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 42.05%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 028.98%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 39.18%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.82%
Exactly 219.87%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.18%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 060.01%
Exactly 130.64%
Exactly 27.82%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 056.36%
Exactly 132.32%
Exactly 29.27%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals12.88%
Wins by 3+ goals3.87%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals17.17%
Wins by 3+ goals5.80%
Wins by 4+ goals1.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal19.70%
Wins by 2 goals9.01%
Wins by 3 goals2.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.13%
Wins by 2 goals11.37%
Wins by 3 goals4.24%
Wins by 4 goals1.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.38%9.62%
1.567.86%32.14%
2.541.49%58.51%
3.520.91%79.09%
4.58.86%91.14%
5.53.22%96.78%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.81%33.19%
1.530.20%69.80%
2.510.02%89.98%
3.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.02%28.98%
1.535.12%64.88%
2.512.90%87.10%
3.53.72%96.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.18%33.82%
1.529.51%70.49%
2.59.64%90.36%
3.52.46%97.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Derby County
Score012345
0
9.62%
11.91%
7.38%
3.05%
0.94%
0.23%
1
10.61%
13.14%
8.14%
3.36%
1.04%
0.26%
2
5.85%
7.25%
4.49%
1.85%
0.57%
0.14%
3
2.15%
2.66%
1.65%
0.68%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.59%
0.73%
0.45%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-010.61%
2-05.85%
2-17.25%
3-02.15%
3-12.66%
3-21.65%
4-00.59%
4-10.73%
4-20.45%
4-30.19%
5-00.13%
5-10.16%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-09.62%
1-113.14%
2-24.49%
3-30.68%
Derby County
0-111.91%
0-27.38%
1-28.14%
0-33.05%
1-33.36%
2-31.85%
0-40.94%
1-41.04%
2-40.57%
3-40.21%
0-50.23%
1-50.26%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Derby County
Score01234
0
33.82%
19.39%
5.56%
1.06%
0.15%
1
17.27%
9.90%
2.84%
0.54%
0.08%
2
4.41%
2.53%
0.72%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.75%
0.43%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-017.27%
2-04.41%
2-12.53%
3-00.75%
3-10.43%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.82%
1-19.90%
2-20.72%
Derby County
0-119.39%
0-25.56%
1-22.84%
0-31.06%
1-30.54%
2-30.14%
0-40.15%
Nott'ham Forest at Bournemouth
Blackburn at Birmingham City