Cardiff City at Derby County

Updated

Cardiff City

32.7%28.0%39.3%
Cardiff City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.24
1Final Score 0

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Birmingham City+110
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+560
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+550
L 1-0 vs Luton Town+190
L 1-2 at Hull City+200
Derby County
Money Line
W 2-0 at Blackpool+375
L 3-1 vs Bristol City+170
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+225
W 1-2 vs Fulham+465
L 1-2 at Swansea City+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+205+215+215+221+213+215+221+239.0
Derby County+125+125+115+129+119+115+129+134.1
Draw+235+220+230+249+245+230+249+260.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+200---+195+215+215+239.0
Derby County+130---+105+120+120+134.1
Draw+250---+235+255+255+260.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +225 to +215
Derby County ML moved from +122 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML
Derby County ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-108o2½-110o2½-103-o2½-110o2½-103o2½+100
Underu2¾-115u2½-112u2½-110u2½-112-u2½-110u2½-110u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-109 to o2¾+104
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.62%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 412.04%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.52%
Exactly 320.58%
Exactly 55.64%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 033.19%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.19%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 42.05%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 028.98%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 39.18%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.82%
Exactly 219.87%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.18%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 060.01%
Exactly 130.64%
Exactly 27.82%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 056.36%
Exactly 132.32%
Exactly 29.27%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals12.88%
Wins by 3+ goals3.87%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals17.17%
Wins by 3+ goals5.80%
Wins by 4+ goals1.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal19.70%
Wins by 2 goals9.01%
Wins by 3 goals2.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.13%
Wins by 2 goals11.37%
Wins by 3 goals4.24%
Wins by 4 goals1.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.38%9.62%
1.567.86%32.14%
2.541.49%58.51%
3.520.91%79.09%
4.58.86%91.14%
5.53.22%96.78%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.81%33.19%
1.530.20%69.80%
2.510.02%89.98%
3.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.02%28.98%
1.535.12%64.88%
2.512.90%87.10%
3.53.72%96.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.18%33.82%
1.529.51%70.49%
2.59.64%90.36%
3.52.46%97.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Derby County
Score012345
0
9.62%
11.91%
7.38%
3.05%
0.94%
0.23%
1
10.61%
13.14%
8.14%
3.36%
1.04%
0.26%
2
5.85%
7.25%
4.49%
1.85%
0.57%
0.14%
3
2.15%
2.66%
1.65%
0.68%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.59%
0.73%
0.45%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-010.61%
2-05.85%
2-17.25%
3-02.15%
3-12.66%
3-21.65%
4-00.59%
4-10.73%
4-20.45%
4-30.19%
5-00.13%
5-10.16%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-09.62%
1-113.14%
2-24.49%
3-30.68%
Derby County
0-111.91%
0-27.38%
1-28.14%
0-33.05%
1-33.36%
2-31.85%
0-40.94%
1-41.04%
2-40.57%
3-40.21%
0-50.23%
1-50.26%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Derby County
Score01234
0
33.82%
19.39%
5.56%
1.06%
0.15%
1
17.27%
9.90%
2.84%
0.54%
0.08%
2
4.41%
2.53%
0.72%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.75%
0.43%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-017.27%
2-04.41%
2-12.53%
3-00.75%
3-10.43%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.82%
1-19.90%
2-20.72%
Derby County
0-119.39%
0-25.56%
1-22.84%
0-31.06%
1-30.54%
2-30.14%
0-40.15%