Derby County at QPR

Updated

Derby County

20.0%23.4%56.5%
Derby County WinDrawQPR Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.76
0Final Score 1

Queens Park Rangers

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fulham+465
L 1-2 at Swansea City+270
W 0-1 vs Preston North End+160
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+195
L 1-3 at Blackburn+420
Queens Park Rangers
Money Line
T 2-2 at Huddersfield+310
L 1-2 at Preston North End+255
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+460
L 2-0 vs Fulham+415
L 3-1 vs Peterborough United-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+215+215+210+223+202+210+223+227.3
QPR+125+125+138+138+133+138+138+146.5
Draw+225+230+225+237+237+225+237+246.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+240----+225+225+227.3
QPR+120----+130+130+146.5
Draw+230----+225+225+246.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
QPR: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
QPR: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
QPR: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +199 to +193
QPR ML moved from +135 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
QPR: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
QPR: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
QPR: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +245 to +225
No Steam Moves On QPR ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2¼-122o2¼-122o2½+109-o2¼-122o2¼-122o2½+119
Underu2½-115u2¼+102u2¼+102u2½-124-u2¼+102u2½-124u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+119
Under-----u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.74%
Exactly 224.51%
Exactly 414.86%
Exactly 63.61%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.17%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 58.02%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 038.99%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.29%
Exactly 35.43%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 017.28%
Exactly 130.34%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 315.58%
Exactly 46.84%
Exactly 52.40%
Exactly 60.70%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.68%
Exactly 222.37%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 39.31%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 064.66%
Exactly 128.20%
Exactly 26.15%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 044.36%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 214.65%
Exactly 33.97%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals6.74%
Wins by 3+ goals1.73%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 2+ goals31.78%
Wins by 3+ goals14.36%
Wins by 4+ goals5.31%
Wins by 5+ goals1.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal13.25%
Wins by 2 goals5.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 1 goal24.71%
Wins by 2 goals17.43%
Wins by 3 goals9.04%
Wins by 4 goals3.68%
Wins by 5 goals1.22%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.26%6.74%
1.575.09%24.91%
2.550.58%49.42%
3.528.54%71.46%
4.513.67%86.33%
5.55.65%94.35%
6.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.01%38.99%
1.524.29%75.71%
2.56.99%93.01%
3.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Queens Park Rangers Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.72%17.28%
1.552.38%47.62%
2.525.75%74.25%
3.510.17%89.83%
4.53.33%96.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.32%28.68%
1.535.50%64.50%
2.513.13%86.87%
3.53.82%96.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
Score012345
0
6.74%
11.83%
10.38%
6.08%
2.67%
0.94%
1
6.35%
11.14%
9.78%
5.72%
2.51%
0.88%
2
2.99%
5.25%
4.61%
2.70%
1.18%
0.42%
3
0.94%
1.65%
1.45%
0.85%
0.37%
0.13%
4
0.22%
0.39%
0.34%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
Derby County
1-06.35%
2-02.99%
2-15.25%
3-00.94%
3-11.65%
3-21.45%
4-00.22%
4-10.39%
4-20.34%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-06.74%
1-111.14%
2-24.61%
3-30.85%
Queens Park Rangers
0-111.83%
0-210.38%
1-29.78%
0-36.08%
1-35.72%
2-32.70%
0-42.67%
1-42.51%
2-41.18%
3-40.37%
0-50.94%
1-50.88%
2-50.42%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
Score01234
0
28.68%
23.31%
9.48%
2.57%
0.52%
1
12.51%
10.17%
4.13%
1.12%
0.23%
2
2.73%
2.22%
0.90%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.40%
0.32%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Derby County
1-012.51%
2-02.73%
2-12.22%
3-00.40%
3-10.32%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-028.68%
1-110.17%
2-20.90%
Queens Park Rangers
0-123.31%
0-29.48%
1-24.13%
0-32.57%
1-31.12%
2-30.24%
0-40.52%
1-40.23%
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