Preston at Derby County

Updated

Preston North End

31.7%28.9%39.4%
Preston WinDrawDerby County Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.18
0Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Preston North End
Money Line
L 0-4 at Luton Town+235
T 0-0 at Cardiff City+205
W 1-2 vs Bournemouth+235
T 1-1 at Coventry City+305
T 0-0 vs Nottingham Forest+185
Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+195
L 1-3 at Blackburn+420
L 0-2 at Bournemouth+505
W 0-2 vs Barnsley+105
L 0-1 at Cardiff City+310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Preston+174+195+182+199+187+182+199+205.9
Derby County+167+165+155+171+157+155+171+177.6
Draw+211+180+200+209+209+200+209+219.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Preston+180---+160+190+190+205.9
Derby County+170---+150+160+160+177.6
Draw+210---+195+210+210+219.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Preston: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Preston: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Preston ML moved from +186 to +176
Derby County ML moved from +163 to +157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Preston: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Preston: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Preston ML
Derby County ML moved from +170 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+108o2-112o2-106o2-109-o2-106o2-106o2+100
Underu2¼-128u2-108u2-114u2-106-u2-114u2-106u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+100
Under-----u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.97%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 410.91%
Exactly 61.78%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.24%
Exactly 319.74%
Exactly 54.82%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Preston North End
Exactly 035.76%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.91%
Exactly 36.48%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 030.66%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 221.42%
Exactly 38.44%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.94%
Exactly 218.82%
Exactly 41.64%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.42%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Preston North End
Exactly 062.12%
Exactly 129.57%
Exactly 27.04%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 057.85%
Exactly 131.66%
Exactly 28.66%
Exactly 31.58%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Preston North End
Wins by 2+ goals11.94%
Wins by 3+ goals3.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals16.76%
Wins by 3+ goals5.48%
Wins by 4+ goals1.43%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Preston North End
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Preston North End
Wins by 1 goal19.67%
Wins by 2 goals8.53%
Wins by 3 goals2.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.61%
Wins by 2 goals11.28%
Wins by 3 goals4.06%
Wins by 4 goals1.13%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.03%10.97%
1.564.79%35.21%
2.538.00%62.00%
3.518.27%81.73%
4.57.36%92.64%
5.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Preston North End Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.24%35.76%
1.527.46%72.54%
2.58.56%91.44%
3.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.34%30.66%
1.533.09%66.91%
2.511.66%88.34%
3.53.22%96.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.06%35.94%
1.527.28%72.72%
2.58.46%91.54%
3.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Preston
Derby County
Score012345
0
10.97%
12.96%
7.66%
3.02%
0.89%
0.21%
1
11.28%
13.33%
7.88%
3.10%
0.92%
0.22%
2
5.80%
6.85%
4.05%
1.60%
0.47%
0.11%
3
1.99%
2.35%
1.39%
0.55%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.51%
0.60%
0.36%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Preston North End
1-011.28%
2-05.80%
2-16.85%
3-01.99%
3-12.35%
3-21.39%
4-00.51%
4-10.60%
4-20.36%
4-30.14%
5-00.11%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-010.97%
1-113.33%
2-24.05%
3-30.55%
Derby County
0-112.96%
0-27.66%
1-27.88%
0-33.02%
1-33.10%
2-31.60%
0-40.89%
1-40.92%
2-40.47%
3-40.16%
0-50.21%
1-50.22%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Preston
Derby County
Score01234
0
35.94%
19.67%
5.38%
0.98%
0.13%
1
17.11%
9.36%
2.56%
0.47%
0.06%
2
4.07%
2.23%
0.61%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.65%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Preston North End
1-017.11%
2-04.07%
2-12.23%
3-00.65%
3-10.35%
Draw
0-035.94%
1-19.36%
2-20.61%
Derby County
0-119.67%
0-25.38%
1-22.56%
0-30.98%
1-30.47%
2-30.11%
0-40.13%