Barnsley at Derby County

Updated

Barnsley

29.6%28.1%42.3%
Barnsley WinDrawDerby County Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.28
0Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Barnsley
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Middlesbrough+315
W 2-0 at Hull City+270
L 0-1 at Coventry City+575
W 0-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+250
L 1-2 at Luton Town+525
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-1 at Cardiff City+310
L 0-1 at Luton Town+370
L 2-1 vs Millwall+185
W 0-1 vs Peterborough United-120
L 1-4 at Middlesbrough+540

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barnsley+350+310+295+329+316+295+329+334.0
Derby County-125+105-102+108+102-102+108+113.8
Draw+240+200+205+219+207+205+219+231.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barnsley+250---+230+300+300+334.0
Derby County+115----105+105+105+113.8
Draw+230---+210+220+220+231.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barnsley: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barnsley: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Barnsley: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barnsley: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barnsley ML moved from +336 to +329
Derby County ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barnsley: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barnsley: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Barnsley: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barnsley: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Barnsley ML
Derby County ML moved from +115 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2-115o2-116o2-115-o2-116o2-115o2-104
Underu2¼-105u2-105u2-104u2+100-u2-104u2+100u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.05%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.67%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.09%
Exactly 320.32%
Exactly 55.36%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Barnsley
Exactly 036.07%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.75%
Exactly 36.37%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 027.85%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 222.75%
Exactly 39.69%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.51%
Exactly 219.53%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barnsley
Exactly 062.37%
Exactly 129.45%
Exactly 26.95%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 055.33%
Exactly 132.75%
Exactly 29.69%
Exactly 31.91%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Barnsley
Wins by 2+ goals10.99%
Wins by 3+ goals3.09%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals19.05%
Wins by 3+ goals6.64%
Wins by 4+ goals1.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Barnsley
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Barnsley
Wins by 1 goal18.54%
Wins by 2 goals7.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal23.24%
Wins by 2 goals12.41%
Wins by 3 goals4.80%
Wins by 4 goals1.44%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.95%10.05%
1.566.87%33.13%
2.540.34%59.66%
3.520.02%79.98%
4.58.35%91.65%
5.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals Barnsley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.93%36.07%
1.527.15%72.85%
2.58.40%91.60%
3.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.15%27.85%
1.536.54%63.46%
2.513.79%86.21%
3.54.10%95.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.49%34.51%
1.528.78%71.22%
2.59.24%90.76%
3.52.32%97.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Barnsley
Derby County
Score012345
0
10.05%
12.84%
8.21%
3.50%
1.12%
0.29%
1
10.24%
13.09%
8.37%
3.57%
1.14%
0.29%
2
5.22%
6.68%
4.27%
1.82%
0.58%
0.15%
3
1.78%
2.27%
1.45%
0.62%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.45%
0.58%
0.37%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Barnsley
1-010.24%
2-05.22%
2-16.68%
3-01.78%
3-12.27%
3-21.45%
4-00.45%
4-10.58%
4-20.37%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-010.05%
1-113.09%
2-24.27%
3-30.62%
Derby County
0-112.84%
0-28.21%
1-28.37%
0-33.50%
1-33.57%
2-31.82%
0-41.12%
1-41.14%
2-40.58%
3-40.20%
0-50.29%
1-50.29%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Barnsley
Derby County
Score01234
0
34.51%
20.42%
6.04%
1.19%
0.18%
1
16.29%
9.64%
2.85%
0.56%
0.08%
2
3.85%
2.28%
0.67%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.61%
0.36%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Barnsley
1-016.29%
2-03.85%
2-12.28%
3-00.61%
3-10.36%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.51%
1-19.64%
2-20.67%
Derby County
0-120.42%
0-26.04%
1-22.85%
0-31.19%
1-30.56%
2-30.13%
0-40.18%
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